2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama
legislative
Election name2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama
CountryAlabama
Ongoingno
Previous election2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama
Previous year2008
Next election2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama
Next year2012
Seats for electionAll 7 Alabama seats to the United States House of Representatives
Election dateNovember 2, 2010
Party 1Republican Party (United States)
Last election 14
Seats before 15 [a]
Seats 16
Seat change 11
Popular vote 1914,445
Percentage 166.86%
Swing 16.44pp
Party 2Democratic Party (United States)
Last election 23
Seats before 22
Seats 21
Seat change 21
Popular vote 2418,957
Percentage 230.63%
Swing 28.09pp

The 2010 congressional elections in Alabama were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Alabama in the United States House of Representatives. Alabama has seven seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected would serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. The primary elections were held on June 1, with the runoff on July 13.

Districts 1, 3, 4, 6, and 7 were considered safe seats for the incumbent party (the Democratic Party for District 7 and the Republican Party for the other districts), according to the Cook Political Report and CQ Politics, and, as predicted, the incumbent party held those seats. Meanwhile, Districts 2 (a Democrat-held seat) and 5 (a Republican-held seat, though the incumbent was a Democrat who switched parties in 2009) were considered up for grabs. The Republican Party gained District 2 and held District 5.

Overview

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama by district:[1]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1129,06382.58%00.00%27,21817.42%156,281100.0%Republican hold
District 2111,64550.97%106,86548.79%5180.24%219,028100.0%Republican gain
District 3117,73659.42%80,20440.48%1990.10%198,139100.0%Republican hold
District 4167,71498.82%00.00%2,0071.18%169,721100.0%Republican hold
District 5131,10957.89%95,19242.03%1890.08%226,490100.0%Republican hold
District 6205,28898.05%00.00%4,0761.95%209,364100.0%Republican hold
District 751,89027.50%136,69672.43%1380.07%188,724100.0%Democratic hold
Total914,44566.86%418,95730.63%34,3452.51%1,367,747100.0%

District 1

U.S. Representative
presidential
Election name2010 Alabama's 1st congressional district election
CountryAlabama
Ongoingno
Previous electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2008#District 1
Previous year2008
Next electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2012#District 1
Next year2012
Election dateNovember 2, 2010
Nominee 1Jo Bonner
Party 1Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1128,802
Percentage 183.1%
Nominee 2David M. Walter
Party 2Constitution Party (United States)
Popular vote 226,294
Percentage 216.9%
Before electionJo Bonner
Before partyRepublican Party (United States)
After electionJo Bonner
After partyRepublican Party (United States)

Republican incumbent Jo Bonner ran for reelection. In the primary, Bonner won against Orange Beach real estate developer Peter Gounares and Clint Moser.[2][3]

The Democrats did not field a candidate for this seat. Bonner was challenged in the general election by David M. Walter, nominee of the Constitution Party (campaign site, PVS).

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]November 1, 2010
RCP[7]November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]October 28, 2010
New York Times[9]November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]November 1, 2010

District 2

U.S. Representative
presidential
Election name2010 Alabama's 2nd congressional district election
CountryAlabama
Ongoingno
Previous electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2008#District 2
Previous year2008
Next electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2012#District 2
Next year2012
Election dateNovember 2, 2010
Nominee 1Martha Roby
Party 1Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1111,332
Percentage 151.1%
Nominee 2Bobby Bright
Party 2Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 2106,465
Percentage 248.9%
Before electionBobby Bright
Before partyDemocratic Party (United States)
After electionMartha Roby
After partyRepublican Party (United States)

Democratic incumbent Bobby Bright ran for reelection, and had no primary opponent.

The Republicans ran two candidates in their primary: Montgomery City Councilwoman Martha Roby and Tea Party activist Rick Barber. Roby was endorsed by Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich, and won the primary.[10][11]

Roby took the general election unseating Bright. Bright later ran for this seat as a Republican in 2018 and lost the primary to Roby, who won a 5th term in the general election.

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredBobby
Bright (D)
Martha
Roby (R)
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[12]October 9–12, 201051%39%
Public Opinion Strategies[13]October 3–4, 201043%45%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[14]September 26–28, 201052%43%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[12]August 23–26, 201052%43%
Anzalone-Liszt Research[15]February 8–11, 201054%30%

†Internal poll commissioned by Bobby Bright

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]November 1, 2010
RCP[7]November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]October 28, 2010
New York Times[9]November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]November 1, 2010

District 3

U.S. Representative
presidential
Election name2010 Alabama's 3rd congressional district election
CountryAlabama
Ongoingno
Previous electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2008#District 3
Previous year2008
Next electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2012#District 3
Next year2012
Election dateNovember 2, 2010
Nominee 1Mike Rogers
Party 1Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1117,439
Percentage 159.5%
Nominee 2Steve Segrest
Party 2Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 279,990
Percentage 240.5%
Before electionMike Rogers
Before partyRepublican Party (United States)
After electionMike Rogers
After partyRepublican Party (United States)

Republican incumbent Michael Rogers ran for reelection, and defeated Democratic nominee Steve Segrest (PVS) to hold the seat for the Republicans.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]November 1, 2010
RCP[7]November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]October 28, 2010
New York Times[9]November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]November 1, 2010

District 4

U.S. Representative
presidential
Election name2010 Alabama's 4th congressional district election
CountryAlabama
Ongoingno
Previous electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2008#District 4
Previous year2008
Next electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2012#District 4
Next year2012
Election dateNovember 2, 2010
Nominee 1Robert Aderholt
Party 1Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1167,709
Percentage 1100%
Before electionRobert Aderholt
Before partyRepublican Party (United States)
After electionRobert Aderholt
After partyRepublican Party (United States)

Republican incumbent Robert Aderholt ran unopposed for reelection in both the primary and general elections.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]November 1, 2010
RCP[7]November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]October 28, 2010
New York Times[9]November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]November 1, 2010

District 5

U.S. Representative
presidential
Election name2010 Alabama's 5th congressional district election
CountryAlabama
Ongoingno
Previous electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2008#District 5
Previous year2008
Next electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2012#District 5
Next year2012
Election dateNovember 2, 2010
Nominee 1Mo Brooks
Party 1Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1130,927
Percentage 157.9%
Nominee 2Steve Raby
Party 2Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 295,078
Percentage 242.1%
Before electionParker Griffith
Before partyRepublican Party (United States)
After electionMo Brooks
After partyRepublican Party (United States)

This district was an open seat in the general election, as incumbent Parker Griffith (who changed parties from Democratic to Republican on December 22, 2009), was defeated in the Republican primary by lawyer and county commissioner Mo Brooks.

Democratic nominee small business owner and political consultant Steve Raby ran against Brooks in the general election, but Brooks won to hold the seat for the Republicans.

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredMo
Brooks (R)
Steve
Raby (D)
Public Opinion Strategies[16]August 22–23, 201048%37%
Public Opinion Strategies[16]June 201048%40%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]November 1, 2010
RCP[7]November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]October 28, 2010
New York Times[9]November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]November 1, 2010

District 6

U.S. Representative
presidential
Election name2010 Alabama's 6th congressional district election
CountryAlabama
Ongoingno
Previous electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2008#District 6
Previous year2008
Next electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2012#District 6
Next year2012
Election dateNovember 2, 2010
Nominee 1Spencer Bachus
Party 1Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1205,288
Percentage 1100.0%
Before electionSpencer Bachus
Before partyRepublican Party (United States)
After electionSpencer Bachus
After partyRepublican Party (United States)

This district is represented by Republican Spencer Bachus, who ran unopposed for reelection in both the primary and general elections.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]November 1, 2010
RCP[7]November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]October 28, 2010
New York Times[9]November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]November 1, 2010

District 7

U.S. Representative
presidential
Election name2010 Alabama's 7th congressional district election
CountryAlabama
Ongoingno
Previous electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2008#District 7
Previous year2008
Next electionUnited States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2012#District 7
Next year2012
Election dateNovember 2, 2010
Nominee 1Terri Sewell
Party 1Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 1135,958
Percentage 172.1%
Nominee 2Don Chamberlain
Party 2Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 252,672
Percentage 227.9%
Before electionArtur Davis
Before partyDemocratic Party (United States)
After electionTerri Sewell
After partyDemocratic Party (United States)

This was an open seat as, in 2009, Democratic incumbent Artur Davis had announced his retirement to run for governor of Alabama.[17] Following his defeat in the 2010 primary, Davis announced he was through with politics and would return to private life at the conclusion of his current term.[18]

In the Republican primary, Don Chamberlain, a businessman, proceeded to a runoff against Chris Salter, a mortgage banker, after both placed ahead of Michele Waller, a retired microbiology technologist, and Carol Hendrickson, a retired nurse. Chamberlain defeated Salter in the runoff to become the nominee.

In the Democratic primary, attorney Terri Sewell won against Patricia Evans Mokolo, an Air Force veteran and Obama field organizer; State Representative Earl Hilliard Jr., the son of the district's former representative, Earl Hilliard; Jefferson County Commissioner Shelia Smoot; Martha Bozeman, an attorney; and Eddison Walters, a small business owner from Tuscaloosa.[19] The district, which includes Birmingham, is more than 60% African American and is heavily Democratic; John Kerry won 64% here in 2004.

Democratic primary polling

Poll sourceDates administeredShelia
Smoot
Earl
Hilliard Jr.
Terri
Sewell
Martha
Bozeman
Undecided
Anzalone Liszt Research[20]June 13–16, 201033%-53%-14%
Anzalone Liszt Research[21]May 13–16, 201022%20%22%7%-
Smoot internal poll[22]April 201033%28%13%--
Anzalone Liszt Research[21]January 201029%25%9%--

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]November 1, 2010
RCP[7]November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]October 28, 2010
New York Times[9]November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]November 1, 2010

References

  1. ^ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  2. ^ "Welcome to nginx". www.brewtonstandard.com. Archived from the original on 23 July 2012. Retrieved 26 January 2022.
  3. ^ [1] Archived August 1, 2009 at the Wayback Machine
  4. ^ "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  5. ^ Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived November 1, 2010 at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  6. ^ Crystal Ball, As of November 01, 2010
  7. ^ RealClearPolitics, As of November 01, 2010
  8. ^ "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived October 28, 2010 at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  9. ^ "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived 7 November 2010 at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved 9 October 2023.
  10. ^ News
  11. ^ Tea party favorite falls in Alabama GOP race[dead link], Bob Johnson, NBC News, July 14, 2010
  12. ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
  13. ^ Public Opinion Strategies
  14. ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
  15. ^ Anzalone-Liszt Research
  16. ^ Public Opinion Strategies
  17. ^ Charles J. Dean (2009-02-01). "Alabama U.S. Rep. Artur Davis set to launch run for governor". The Birmingham News. Retrieved 2009-02-02.
  18. ^ "Ala. Rep. Davis through with politics after loss". Washingtonpost.com. Archived from the original on 2013-02-05. Retrieved 2010-06-06.
  19. ^ "Bozeman running for Congress - Breaking News from The Birmingham News - al.com". Blog.al.com. 2009-07-07. Retrieved 2009-07-28.
  20. ^ Anzalone Liszt Research
  21. ^ Anzalone Liszt Research
  22. ^ Smoot internal poll

Notes

  1. ^ Representative Parker Griffith of the 5th District switched from the Democratic to Republican party on December 22, 2009.