2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

legislative

Election name	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
Next year	2020
Seats for election	All 14 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives
Election date	November 6, 2018
Turnout	57.8%
Party 1	Democratic Party (United States)
Last election 1	5
Seats before 1	4
Seats 1	7
Seat change 1	2
Popular vote 1	2,165,586
Percentage 1	52.33%
Swing 1	5.36%
Party 2	Republican Party (United States)
Last election 2	9
Seats before 2	9
Seats 2	7
Seat change 2	2
Popular vote 2	1,847,480
Percentage 2	44.65%
Swing 2	3.38%

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018.^[1] Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.

Two seats shifted from Republican to Democratic control. In the 8th Congressional District, Elissa Slotkin defeated incumbent Mike Bishop and in an open seat for the 11th Congressional District, Haley Stevens defeated Lena Epstein.^[2] This left Michigan's U.S. House delegation in the 116th United States Congress with seven Democrats and seven Republicans until July 4, 2019, when Justin Amash of the 3rd Congressional District left the Republican Party to become an independent, shifting the balance of power in Michigan's House delegation to a Democratic plurality for the first time since 2011.

Results summary

Statewide

Party		Candi- dates	Votes		Seats
			No.	%	No.	+/–	%
	Democratic Party	14	2,165,586	52.33%	7	2	50.00%
	Republican Party	13	1,847,480	44.65%	7	2	50.00%
	Working Class Party	5	52,879	1.28%	0		0.00%
	U.S. Taxpayers' Party	4	27,007	0.65%	0		0.00%
	Independent	3	18,299	0.44%	0		0.00%
	Green Party	3	14,805	0.36%	0		0.00%
	Libertarian Party	2	12,095	0.29%	0		0.00%
Total		44	4,138,151	100.00%	14		100.00%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan by district:^[3]

District	Democratic		Republican		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	145,246	43.68%	187,251	56.32%	0	0.00%	332,497	100.00%	Republican hold
District 2	131,254	42.97%	168,970	55.32%	5,239	1.72%	305,463	100.00%	Republican hold
District 3	134,185	43.18%	169,107	54.42%	7,448	2.40%	310,740	100.00%	Republican hold
District 4	106,540	37.38%	178,510	62.62%	0	0.00%	285,050	100.00%	Republican hold
District 5	164,502	59.51%	99,265	35.91%	12,646	4.58%	276,413	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 6	134,082	45.69%	147,436	50.24%	11,920	4.06%	293,438	100.00%	Republican hold
District 7	136,330	46.20%	158,730	53.80%	0	0.00%	295,060	100.00%	Republican hold
District 8	172,880	50.61%	159,782	46.78%	8,931	2.61%	341,593	100.00%	Democratic gain
District 9	181,734	59.67%	112,123	36.81%	10,706	3.52%	304,563	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 10	106,061	35.00%	182,808	60.32%	14,195	4.68%	303,064	100.00%	Republican hold
District 11	181,912	51.84%	158,463	45.16%	10,526	3.00%	350,901	100.00%	Democratic gain
District 12	200,588	68.08%	85,115	28.89%	8,925	3.03%	294,628	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 13	165,355	84.24%	0	0.00%	30,944	15.76%	196,299	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 14	214,334	80.88%	45,899	17.32%	4,761	1.80%	264,994	100.00%	Democratic hold
Total	2,175,003	52.35%	1,853,459	44.61%	126,241	3.04%	4,154,703	100.00%

District 1

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 1st congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 1
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 1
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Jack Bergman
Party 1	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	187,251
Percentage 1	56.3%
Nominee 2	Matthew Morgan
Party 2	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	145,246
Percentage 2	43.7%
Before election	Jack Bergman
Before party	Republican Party (United States)
After election	Jack Bergman
After party	Republican Party (United States)

The 1st district consists of the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula including Alpena, Marquette, and Traverse City. This district had a PVI of R+9. The district, which makes up about 44% of the land area of the state of Michigan, is the second-largest congressional district east of the Mississippi River by land area. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Dan Benishek with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race "likely Republican".^[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jack Bergman, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Matt Morgan was the only Democrat to file to run. However, he was removed from the ballot because he used a PO box address on his nomination petitions instead of his residential address. Instead, Morgan ran a write-in campaign, hoping to qualify for the ballot by winning at least five percent of the total votes cast in the district for the Democratic gubernatorial primary.^[5] Over 4,800 votes were cast in Marquette County, which would have been enough by itself to qualify Morgan for the ballot.^[6] According to official results, Democrats cast 29,293 write-in votes in the primary for Morgan, more than seven times the 3,781-vote threshold. On August 24, the Board of State Canvassers placed him on the November ballot.^[7]

Candidates

Nominee

• Matthew W. Morgan, retired US Marine Corps lieutenant colonel and Iraq War veteran^[8]

Withdrawn

• Dwight Brady, professor^[8]

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jack Bergman (R)	Matt Morgan (D)	Undecided
Change Research (D)[9]	October 27–29, 2018	574	–	54%	42%	–

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018

District 2

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 2nd congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 2
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 2
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Bill Huizenga
Party 1	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	168,970
Percentage 1	55.3%
Nominee 2	Rob Davidson
Party 2	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	131,254
Percentage 2	43.0%
Before election	Bill Huizenga
Before party	Republican Party (United States)
After election	Bill Huizenga
After party	Republican Party (United States)

The 2nd district is located in West Michigan and is anchored by the suburbs of Grand Rapids such as Kentwood and Wyoming, other cities include Holland and Muskegon. This district had a PVI of R+9. The incumbent was Republican Bill Huizenga, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Rob Davidson, ER doctor^[16][17]

Failed to qualify

• Nick Schiller, political newcomer^[8]

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bill Huizenga (R)	Rob Davidson (D)	Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D-Davidson)[18]	October 11–15, 2018	400	± 4.9%	48%	42%	7%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018

District 3

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 3rd congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 3
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 3
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Justin Amash
Party 1	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	169,107
Percentage 1	54.4%
Nominee 2	Cathy Albro
Party 2	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	134,185
Percentage 2	43.2%
Before election	Justin Amash
Before party	Republican Party (United States)
After election	Justin Amash
After party	Republican Party (United States)

The 3rd district is located in inland West Michigan, centered on the city of Grand Rapids, and extends down to Battle Creek and Marshall. This district had a PVI of R+6. The incumbent was Republican Justin Amash, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Justin Amash, incumbent U.S. representative^[17]

Failed to qualify

• Joe Farrington^[8]
• Matt Hall

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Cathy Albro, educator

Eliminated in primary

• Fred Wooden, pastor^[17]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018

District 4

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 4th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 4
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 4
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	John Moolenaar
Party 1	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	178,510
Percentage 1	62.6%
Nominee 2	Jerry Hillard
Party 2	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	106,540
Percentage 2	37.4%
Before election	John Moolenaar
Before party	Republican Party (United States)
After election	John Moolenaar
After party	Republican Party (United States)

The 4th district is located in Northern and Central Michigan including portions of the Tri-Cities region, specifically Midland, other cities include Mount Pleasant and the northern suburbs of Lansing. This district had a PVI of R+10. The incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 62% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• John Moolenaar, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jerry Hilliard

Eliminated in primary

• Zigmond Kozicki^[4]

Failed to qualify

• Dion Adams^[8]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018
CNN[19]		October 31, 2018
Politico[20]		November 4, 2018

District 5

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 5th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 5
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 5
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Dan Kildee
Party 1	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	164,502
Percentage 1	59.5%
Nominee 2	Travis Wines
Party 2	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	99,265
Percentage 2	35.9%
Before election	Dan Kildee
Before party	Democratic Party (United States)
After election	Dan Kildee
After party	Democratic Party (United States)

The 5th district is located along the eastern coast of Michigan, centered on the Tri-Cities region of Mid Michigan, such as Bay City and Saginaw, and stretches down into Flint. This district had a PVI of D+5. The incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 61% of the vote in 2016. Kildee considered running for governor in 2018, but decided to run for re-election instead.^[21]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. representative

Republican primary

Michigan's 5th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.^[22] There was one Republican candidate, Durand resident Travis Wines, who lived outside the district.^[8]

Candidates

Nominee

• Travis Wines

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018
CNN[19]		October 31, 2018
Politico[20]		November 4, 2018

District 6

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 6th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 6
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 6
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Fred Upton
Party 1	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	147,436
Percentage 1	50.2%
Nominee 2	Matthew Longjohn
Party 2	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	134,082
Percentage 2	45.7%
Before election	Fred Upton
Before party	Republican Party (United States)
After election	Fred Upton
After party	Republican Party (United States)

The 6th district is located in Southwestern corner of Michigan, specifically the Michiana region. The district is anchored by Kalamazoo and the surrounding areas including Benton Harbor and Niles. This district had a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Fred Upton, who had represented the district since 1993 and previously represented the 4th district from 1987 to 1993. He was re-elected to a sixteenth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican".^[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Fred Upton, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Matt Longjohn, physician and former National Health Officer for the YMCA^[23]

Eliminated in primary

• David Benac, professor^[24]
• Rich Eichholz, businessman and biologist^[25]
• George Franklin, former Kellogg Company executive^[26][27]

Failed to qualify

• Paul Clements, professor and nominee for this seat in 2014 and 2016^[28][8]
• Eponine Garrod, local activist and quality control chemist^[24]

Declined

• Mark Schauer, former U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2014^[29][26]

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Fred Upton (R)	Matt Longjohn (D)	Stephen Young (T)	Undecided
Change Research (D)[9]	November 2–4, 2018	460	–	40%	42%	3%	14%
Change Research (D)[9]	October 27–29, 2018	466	–	46%	43%	–	–
DCCC (D)[30]	October 9–10, 2018	605	± 4.2%	49%	46%	–	–
Public Policy Polling (D)[31]	September 4–5, 2018	750	–	45%	41%	–	–
Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn)[32]	August 24–29, 2018	500	± 4.4%	47%	41%	3%	9%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Fred Upton (R)	Democratic opponent (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[33]	November 8–9, 2017	681	± 3.8%	42%	41%	–	17%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018

District 7

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 7th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 7
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 7
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Tim Walberg
Party 1	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	158,730
Percentage 1	53.8%
Nominee 2	Gretchen Driskell
Party 2	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	136,330
Percentage 2	46.2%
Before election	Tim Walberg
Before party	Republican Party (United States)
After election	Tim Walberg
After party	Republican Party (United States)

The 7th district is located in Southern Michigan including downtown Lansing and the western suburbs of Ann Arbor including Lodi and Milan, other cities include Adrian, Coldwater, and Jackson. This district had a PVI of R+7. The incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2007 to 2009. He was re-elected to a fourth consecutive and fifth total term with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican".^[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Michigan's 7th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.^[34]

Candidates

Nominee

• Gretchen Driskell, former state representative, former Saline mayor and nominee for this seat in 2016^[35]

Eliminated in primary

• Steven Friday, social worker^[17]

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Gretchen Driskell (D)	Tim Walberg (R)	Undecided
DCCC (D)[36]	February 19–21, 2018	400	–	37%	41%	–

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018

District 8

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 8th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 8
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 8
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Elissa Slotkin
Party 1	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	172,880
Percentage 1	50.6%
Nominee 2	Mike Bishop
Party 2	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	159,782
Percentage 2	46.8%
Before election	Mike Bishop
Before party	Republican Party (United States)
After election	Elissa Slotkin
After party	Democratic Party (United States)

The 8th district was centered on the state capital, Lansing, and stretches into the northern outskirts of Metro Detroit including Rochester Hills. This district had a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Mike Bishop, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 56% of the vote in 2016. This race was considered competitive, with the Cook Political Report rating it as "Tossup" in August 2018.^[37][4] With $28 million spent, it drew the most campaign spending for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.^[38] Elissa Slotkin defeated Bishop, flipping the district to the Democratic side.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Bishop, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Lokesh Kumar^[39]

Democratic primary

Michigan's 8th district had been included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.^[34]

Candidates

Nominee

• Elissa Slotkin, former acting Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs and former United States National Security Council official^[40]

Eliminated in primary

• Christopher E. Smith, professor of criminal justice^[17]

Failed to qualify

• Darlene Domanik, attorney^[17]

Libertarian party

• Brian Ellison

General election

Debates

• Complete video of debate, October 5, 2018

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Bishop (R)	Elissa Slotkin (D)	Other	Undecided
Change Research (D)[41]	November 2–4, 2018	501	–	46%	47%	3%[42]	5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[43]	October 31 – November 4, 2018	447	± 5.0%	42%	49%	2%	6%
Target Insyght[44]	October 15–17, 2018	500	± 4.5%	48%	45%	3%[45]	4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[46]	September 28 – October 3, 2018	501	± 4.8%	47%	44%	–	10%
GQR Research (D-Slotkin)[47]	September 17–20, 2018	400	± 4.9%	43%	47%	–	10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Bishop)[48]	September 16–18, 2018	400	± 4.9%	45%	43%	–	–
Public Policy Polling (D)[49]	April 16–17, 2018	668	± 3.8%	46%	41%	–	13%
Target Insyght[50]	April 3–5, 2018	400	± 5.0%	45%	39%	–	16%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018

District 9

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 9th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 9
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 9
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Andy Levin
Party 1	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	181,734
Percentage 1	59.7%
Nominee 2	Candius Stearns
Party 2	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	112,123
Percentage 2	36.8%
Before election	Sander Levin
Before party	Democratic Party (United States)
After election	Andy Levin
After party	Democratic Party (United States)

The 9th district is located in Metro Detroit including Roseville, Royal Oak, and Warren. This district had a PVI of D+4. The incumbent was Democrat Sander Levin, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 17th district from 1983 to 1993. He was re-elected to an eighteenth term with 58% of the vote in 2016. In December 2017, Levin announced his retirement, and that he would not seek re-election in 2018.^[51]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Andy Levin, former director of the Michigan Department of Energy, Labor and Economic Growth and son of incumbent Sander Levin^[52]

Eliminated in primary

• Martin Brook, attorney
• Ellen Lipton, former state representative^[17]

Withdrawn

• Steve Bieda, state senator^[53]

Declined

• Sander Levin, incumbent representative
• Andy Meisner, Oakland County Treasurer^[54]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Martin Brook	Andy Levin	Ellen Lipton	Undecided
EPIC-MRA[55]	July 25–26, 2018	730	± 3.7%	4%	55%	31%	10%
Lake Research Partners (D-Levin)[56]	July 9–12, 2018	400	± 4.9%	4%	51%	12%	30%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Bieda	Andy Levin	Ellen Lipton	Undecided
GQR Research[57]	March 17–19, 2018	400	± 4.9%	17%	—	42%	8%	33%

Republican primary

Michigan's 9th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.^[22]

Candidates

Nominee

• Candius Stearns, businesswoman^[17]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018
CNN[19]		October 31, 2018
Politico[20]		November 4, 2018

District 10

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 10th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 10
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 10
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Paul Mitchell
Party 1	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	182,808
Percentage 1	60.8%
Nominee 2	Kimberly Bizon
Party 2	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	106,061
Percentage 2	35.0%
Before election	Paul Mitchell
Before party	Republican Party (United States)
After election	Paul Mitchell
After party	Republican Party (United States)

The 10th district is located in an area of the Lower Peninsula of Michigan known as The Thumb and parts of the Metro Detroit area including Chesterfield, Macomb, and Port Huron. This was the most Republican friendly district, with a PVI of R+13. The incumbent was Republican Paul Mitchell, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Candice Miller with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Paul Mitchell, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kimberly Bizon

Eliminated in primary

• Frank Accavitti Jr.
• Michael McCarthy

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018
CNN[19]		October 31, 2018
Politico[20]		November 4, 2018

District 11

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 11th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 11
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 11
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Haley Stevens
Party 1	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	181,912
Percentage 1	51.8%
Nominee 2	Lena Epstein
Party 2	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	158,463
Percentage 2	45.2%
Before election	Dave Trott
Before party	Republican Party (United States)
After election	Haley Stevens
After party	Democratic Party (United States)

The 11th district is located in Metro Detroit including Livonia, Novi, and Troy. This district had a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Dave Trott, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. Trott was not running for re-election in 2018.^[58][59] This race was considered to be competitive; the Cook Political Report rated this contest as a "toss up".^[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lena Epstein, businesswoman and Michigan co-chair of the 2016 Donald Trump presidential campaign^[60]

Eliminated in primary

• Kerry Bentivolio, former U.S. Representative^[61][62]
• Klint Kesto, state representative^[58]
• Mike Kowall, state senator^[63][64]
• Rocky Raczkowski, former state representative, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2002 and nominee for MI-09 in 2010^[60]

Withdrawn

• Kurt Heise, Plymouth Township Supervisor and former state representative^{[64][65][66][67]} (endorsed Kowall)

Failed to qualify

• Kristine Bonds, daughter of TV news anchor Bill Bonds.^[68] (endorsed Kowall)^[69]

Declined

• Ethan Baker, Troy city councilman and former aide to President Ronald Reagan^[64]
• Mike Bouchard, Oakland County sheriff and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2006^[58][63]
• Patrick Colbeck, state senator (running for governor)^[65]
• Rory Cooper, former communications director to former House Majority Leader Eric Cantor^[70]
• Laura Cox, state representative^[58][63]
• Marty Knollenberg, state senator^[64] (running for re-election)
• Mike McCready, State Representative^[64]
• Ronna Romney McDaniel, chairwoman of the Republican National Committee^[63][64]
• Jeff Sawka, former vice chair of the Michigan Republican Party^[64]
• Dave Trott, incumbent U.S. representative

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kerry Bentivolio	Lena Epstein	Klint Kesto	Mike Kowall	Rocky Raczkowski	Undecided
Mitchell Research (R)[71]	July 30, 2018	305	± 5.7%	14%	27%	11%	10%	18%	20%
EPIC-MRA[72]	July 23–24, 2018	700	± 3.7%	7%	26%	12%	8%	19%	28%

Democratic primary

Michigan's 11th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.^[34]

Candidates

Nominee

• Haley Stevens, former chief of staff for the Presidential Task Force on the Auto Industry^[73]

Eliminated in primary

• Tim Greimel, state representative^[74]
• Suneel Gupta, businessman and attorney^[75]
• Fayrouz Saad, former Detroit director of immigration affairs^[76]
• Nancy Skinner, syndicated radio and TV commentator

Failed to qualify

• Daniel Haberman, businessman and attorney^[68]

Declined

• Dr. Anil Kumar, physician, candidate for this seat in 2014 and nominee in 2016^[77]
• Barbara McQuade, former United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan^[78]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Greimel	Suneel Gupta	Fayrouz Saad	Nancy Skinner	Haley Stevens	Other	Undecided
EPIC-MRA[72]	July 23–24, 2018	700	± 3.7%	21%	14%	10%	4%	17%	—	34%
Target-Insyght[79]	July 16–18, 2018	500	± 4.5%	14%	15%	7%	—	21%	4%[80]	39%

Libertarian party

• Leonard Schwartz, attorney

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Lena Epstein (R)	Haley Stevens (D)	Other	Undecided
Target Insyght[81]	October 15–17, 2018	513	± 4.3%	48%	48%	2%	3%
ALG Research (D-Stevens)[82]	October 10–14, 2018	513	± 4.3%	34%	44%	4%[83]	16%
Harper Polling (R-Epstein)[84]	October 10–13, 2018	465	± 5.0%	35%	36%	2%[85]	27%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[86]	October 1–6, 2018	465	± 5.0%	38%	45%	–	17%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Republican candidate	Democratic candidate	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[87]	February 12–13, 2018	653	± 3.8%	42%	45%	–	13%
Public Policy Polling (D)[88]	October 5–8, 2017	709	± 3.7%	42%	42%	–	16%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018

District 12

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 12th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 12
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 12
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Debbie Dingell
Party 1	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	200,588
Percentage 1	68.1%
Nominee 2	Jeff Jones
Party 2	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	85,115
Percentage 2	28.9%
Before election	Debbie Dingell
Before party	Democratic Party (United States)
After election	Debbie Dingell
After party	Democratic Party (United States)

The 12th district is based in Ann Arbor and the surrounding cities including Ypsilanti, and the western suburbs of Detroit including Dearborn and Lincoln Park. This district had a PVI of D+14. The incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Debbie Dingell, incumbent U.S. representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jeff Jones

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018
CNN[19]		October 31, 2018
Politico[20]		November 4, 2018

District 13

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 13th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2018 Michigan's 13th congressional district special election
Previous year	2018 (special)
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 13
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Rashida Tlaib
Party 1	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	165,355
Percentage 1	84.2%
Nominee 2	Sam Johnson
Party 2	Working Class Party
Popular vote 2	22,186
Percentage 2	11.3%
Before election	Brenda Jones
Before party	Democratic Party (United States)
After election	Rashida Tlaib
After party	Democratic Party (United States)

The 13th district is located entirely within Wayne County and is centered on the city of the Detroit and the immediate surrounding suburbs including Dearborn Heights, Garden City, and Westland. This was the most Democratic-friendly district, with a PVI of D+32. The seat was vacant for most of 2018, following the resignation of John Conyers in December 2017.^[89] A special primary and special general election were held in August and November 2018, on dates coinciding with the already scheduled primary and general elections in a money-saving move by Michigan Governor Rick Snyder.^[90]

Conyers represented the district from 2013 to 2017. He previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, and the 1st district from 1965 to 1993. He was Dean of the United States House of Representatives, and was re-elected to a twenty-seventh term with 77% of the vote in 2016.

Former state representative Rashida Tlaib, a member of Democratic Socialists of America, won the Democratic primary. Tlaib, however, lost the special primary to Brenda Jones, president of the Detroit City Council. Jones served for the final 35 days of the unexpired term before Tlaib was sworn in.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Rashida Tlaib, former state representative^[91]

Eliminated in primary

• Ian Conyers, state senator^[92]
• Shanelle Jackson, former state representative and candidate for MI-13 in 2012^[93][94]
• Brenda Jones, president of the Detroit City Council^[95]
• Bill Wild, mayor of Westland^[96]
• Coleman Young II, state senator and candidate for mayor of Detroit in 2017^[97][98]

Failed to qualify

• John Conyers III, hedge fund manager^[8]
• Sherry Gay-Dagnogo, state representative^[99][100]
• Kimberly Hill Knott, government relations, environmental justice^[101]

Withdrew

• Michael Gilmore, attorney and activist^[8]

Declined

• John Conyers, incumbent U.S. representative

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ian Conyers	Shanelle Jackson	Brenda Jones	Rashida Tlaib	Bill Wild	Coleman Young	Undecided
EPIC-MRA[102]	July 25–26, 2018	700	± 3.7%	7%	5%	26%	22%	20%	9%	11%
Target-Insyght[79]	July 16–18, 2018	600	± 4.0%	8%	4%	21%	19%	20%	14%	14%

Debate

2018 Michigan's 13th congressional district Democratic primary debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic
Key: Participant  Absent  Not invited  Invited Withdrawn
					Ian Conyers	Shanelle Jackson	Brenda Jones	Rashida Tlaib	Bill Wild	Coleman Young II
1	Aug. 2, 2018	WDIV-TV	Devin Scillian	[103]

Republican primary

David Dudenhoefer was the only Republican candidate to announce his run for the Republican nomination, but he failed to qualify. He did, however, run as a write-in candidate. As a result, Tlaib was opposed in the general election only by minor party candidates and write-in candidates.

Candidates

Failed to qualify

• David A. Dudenhoefer, district GOP chair^[104]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018
CNN[19]		October 31, 2018
Politico[20]		November 4, 2018

District 14

U.S. Representative

presidential

Election name	2018 Michigan's 14th congressional district election
Country	Michigan
Ongoing	no
Previous election	2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 14
Previous year	2016
Next election	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan#District 14
Next year	2020
Nominee 1	Brenda Lawrence
Party 1	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular vote 1	214,334
Percentage 1	80.9%
Nominee 2	Marc Herschfus
Party 2	Republican Party (United States)
Popular vote 2	45,899
Percentage 2	17.3%
Before election	Brenda Lawrence
Before party	Democratic Party (United States)
After election	Brenda Lawrence
After party	Democratic Party (United States)

The 14th district stretches from the northern Detroit suburbs including Farmington Hills, Southfield, and West Bloomfield, to eastern part of Detroit. This district had a PVI of D+30. The incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected to a second term with 79% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Brenda Lawrence, incumbent U.S. representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Marc Herschfus

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[10]		November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11]		November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 5, 2018
RCP[13]		November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14]		November 5, 2018
538[15]		November 7, 2018
CNN[19]		October 31, 2018
Politico[20]		November 4, 2018

References

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9. ^ Change Research (D)
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28. ^ Barrett, Malachi (July 6, 2017). "Paul Clements announces third challenge to Fred Upton in 2018". Kalamazoo Gazette. Retrieved July 6, 2017.
29. ^ McNeill, John (March 7, 2017). "Kalamazoo's population grows famously". WNWN-FM. Retrieved March 23, 2017.
30. ^ DCCC (D)
31. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
32. ^ Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn)
33. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
34. ^ Cheney, Kyle (January 30, 2017). "Amid Democratic doldrums, DCCC identifies 2018 targets". Politico. Retrieved March 23, 2017.
35. ^ Oosting, Jonathan (July 19, 2017). "Driskell seeks rematch with Rep. Walberg". The Detroit News. Retrieved July 19, 2017.
36. ^ DCCC (D)
37. ^ "Challenger Elissa Slotkin outraises Rep. Mike Bishop over three months". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
38. ^ Schuster, Simon (2022-10-19). "Michigan's closest U.S. House races report lopsided fundraising". mlive. Retrieved 2022-10-25.
39. ^ "Races for new Circuit Court seat, state House and Senate set as filing deadline passes". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
40. ^ Spangler, Todd (July 10, 2017). "Ex-Pentagon, intelligence official Elissa Slotkin to challenge Mike Bishop for Congress". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved July 10, 2017.
41. ^ Change Research (D)
42. ^ Brian Ellison (L) with 3%, David Lillis (T) with 0%
43. ^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
44. ^ Target Insyght
45. ^ Brian Ellison (L) with 2%, David Lillis (T) with 1%
46. ^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
47. ^ GQR Research (D-Slotkin)
48. ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R-Bishop)
49. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
50. ^ Target Insyght
51. ^ Peterson, Kristina (December 2, 2017). "Rep. Sander Levin of Michigan to Retire". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved December 2, 2017.
52. ^ "Levin, Bieda running for Congress". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
53. ^ "Steve Bieda drops out of U.S. House race to run for Spranger's office". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
54. ^ Oosting, Jonathan. "Oakland County Treasurer Andy Meisner says he WON'T run for Congress in #MI9". Twitter
55. ^ EPIC-MRA
56. ^ Lake Research Partners (D-Levin)
57. ^ GQR Research
58. ^ Schneider, Elena (September 11, 2017). "Michigan Rep. Dave Trott won't run for reelection". Politico. Retrieved September 11, 2017.
59. ^ Roskopp, Jack. "Republican Michigan Representative Dave Trott not seeking reelection". Archived from the original on August 1, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
60. ^ "Raczkowski, Epstein enter race to succeed Trott". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
61. ^ Jacobs, Ben (September 12, 2017). "Former congressman Kerry Bentivolio tells me he is "seriously considering" running for his old seat which is being vacated by Dave Trott". Twitter. Retrieved September 14, 2017.
62. ^ Oosting, Jonathan (October 16, 2017). "Bentivolio eyes return to Congress". Detroit News. Retrieved October 16, 2017.
63. ^ Spangler, Todd (September 11, 2017). "U.S Rep. Dave Trott to leave Congress". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved September 11, 2017.
64. ^ Nann Burke, Melissa (September 11, 2017). "Rep. Dave Trott is retiring from U.S. House". The Detroit News. Retrieved September 11, 2017.
65. ^ Kadrich, Brad (September 12, 2017). "Heise eyes run for Trott's House seat". Plymouth Observer. Retrieved September 14, 2017.
66. ^ "Form 1 for Kurt Heise for Congress"
67. ^ "Heise ends campaign for Congress, endorses Kowall"
68. ^ "Board: 7 U.S. House hopefuls tossed from primary ballot". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
69. ^ "Former candidate Kristine Bonds endorses Mike Kowall for Congress.". Mike Kowall for Congress. July 16, 2018. Archived from the original on August 17, 2018. Retrieved August 17, 2018.
70. ^ Pathé, Simone (September 11, 2017). "Michigan's Dave Trott Won't Seek Re-Election in 2018". Roll Call. Retrieved September 11, 2017.
71. ^ Mitchell Research (R)
72. ^ EPIC-MRA
73. ^ Oosting, Jonathan (April 27, 2017). "Michigan native comes home for run against Rep. Trott". The Detroit News. Retrieved April 27, 2017.
74. ^ Todd Spangler (October 17, 2017). "State Rep. Tim Greimel joins crowded congressional field". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved October 19, 2017.
75. ^ Burke, Melissa (January 5, 2018). "Democrat Gupta raises $501K in bid to replace Trott". The Detroit News. Retrieved March 22, 2018.
76. ^ Nann Burke, Melissa (July 13, 2017). "Former Duggan official plans run against Rep. Trott". The Detroit News. Retrieved July 13, 2017.
77. ^ Kumar, Anil. "Kumar For US Congress". Facebook
78. ^ Gorchow, Zach (September 11, 2017). "On the Barb McQuade/#MI11 rumor, she says when I asked if she's looking at it, "No, not at all. I don't even live in the 11th District."". Twitter. Retrieved September 14, 2017.
79. ^ Target-Insyght
80. ^ Daniel Haberman (failed to make ballot) 4%
81. ^ Target Insyght
82. ^ ALG Research (D-Stevens) Archived October 18, 2018 at the Wayback Machine
83. ^ Leonard Schwartz (L) with 4%
84. ^ Harper Polling (R-Epstein)
85. ^ Leonard Schwartz (L) with 1%, Cooper Nye (I) with 1%
86. ^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
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88. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
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91. ^ Spangler, Todd (February 6, 2018). "Former Michigan state Rep. Rashida Tlaib to seek Conyers' seat in Congress". Detroit Free Press
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External links

• Candidates at Vote Smart
• Candidates at Ballotpedia
• Campaign finance at FEC
• Campaign finance at OpenSecrets

Official campaign websites of first district candidates

• Jack Bergman (R) for Congress
• Matt Morgan (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites of second district candidates

• Rob Davidson (D) for Congress
• Bill Huizenga (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of third district candidates

• Cathy Albro (D) for Congress
• Justin Amash (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates

• Jerry Hilliard (D) for Congress
• John Moolenaar (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of fifth district candidates

• Dan Kildee (D) for Congress
• Travis Wines (R) for Congress Archived July 24, 2018 at the Wayback Machine

Official campaign websites of sixth district candidates

• Matt Longjohn (D) for Congress Archived August 28, 2017 at the Wayback Machine
• Fred Upton (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of seventh district candidates

• Gretchen Driskell (D) for Congress
• Tim Walberg (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of eighth district candidates

• Mike Bishop (R) for Congress Archived October 9, 2018 at the Wayback Machine
• Elissa Slotkin (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites of ninth district candidates

• Andy Levin (D) for Congress
• Candius Stearns (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of tenth district candidates

• Kimberly Bizon (D) for Congress
• Paul Mitchell (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of eleventh district candidates

• Lena Epstein (R) for Congress
• Haley Stevens (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites of twelfth district candidates

• Debbie Dingell (D) for Congress
• Jeff Jones (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites of thirteenth district candidates

• Rashida Tlaib (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites of fourteenth district candidates

• Brenda Lawrence (D) for Congress