2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin

{{Use mdy dates|date=August 2024}} {{Infobox election | election_name = 2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin | country = Wisconsin | type = presidential | ongoing = no | previous_election = 2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin | previous_year = 2018 | next_election = 2030 United States Senate election in Wisconsin | next_year = ''2030'' | election_date = November 5, 2024 | image_size = 150x150px | image1 = File:SenTammyBaldwin (1) (cropped).jpg | nominee1 = '''Tammy Baldwin''' | party1 = Democratic Party (United States) | popular_vote1 = '''1,672,777''' | percentage1 = '''49.33%''' | image2 = Hovde 2024 Debate.png | nominee2 = Eric Hovde | party2 = Republican Party (United States) | popular_vote2 = 1,643,996 | percentage2 = 48.48% | map_image = {{switcher |260px |County results |260px| |Congressional district results |260px |Precinct results |default=1}} | map_size = 260px | map_caption = '''Baldwin:''' {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}} '''Hovde:''' {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}} '''Tie:''' {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} | title = U.S. Senator | before_election = Tammy Baldwin | before_party = Democratic Party (United States) | after_election = Tammy Baldwin | after_party = Democratic Party (United States) | turnout = 3,387,839 60.7% {{Increase}} }} {{Elections in Wisconsin sidebar}} The '''2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin''' was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wisconsin. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin won re-election to a third term by a narrow 0.85% margin, defeating Republican nominee Eric Hovde.<ref name="BaldwinAnnounce" />

Third-party candidates Phil Anderson and Thomas Leager were seen as potential spoiler candidates for Hovde in a state that had voted for Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Democratic donors prop up far-right candidates, including a gun activist in the 2024 Wisconsin US Senate race |url=https://pbswisconsin.org/news-item/democratic-donors-prop-up-far-right-candidates-including-a-gun-activist-in-the-2024-wisconsin-us-senate-race/ |access-date=2025-01-23 |website=PBS Wisconsin |language=en-US}}</ref> This was the first time that Wisconsin voted for candidates of different political parties for U.S. senator and president since Democrat Gaylord Nelson was reelected as Republican Richard Nixon carried the state in 1968. The closest of Baldwin's three Senate victories, the race held similarities to Republican Ron Johnson's narrow win in 2022, down to the percentage and raw vote margin by which the incumbents won. It was the closest Senate race in the state since 1914 and the closest election ever for this seat.

Baldwin won only about 4,000 votes more than Kamala Harris, while Hovde received about 55,000 fewer votes than Trump. This likely means that some Trump voters voted for Baldwin or a third-party candidate. While almost all of the state's counties swung Republican compared to Baldwin's 2018 victory, Baldwin improved in Waukesha and Ozaukee.

The primary election took place on August 13, 2024.<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 State Primary Election Dates |url=https://www.ncsl.org/elections-and-campaigns/2024-state-primary-election-dates |access-date=2023-05-13 |website=www.ncsl.org}}</ref> The election was considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.<ref>{{cite web |title=The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 |website=CNN |date=July 20, 2024 |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/20/politics/senate-race-rankings-july-2024/index.html}}</ref> {{TOC limit|3}}

== Background == No Republican has won this Senate seat since Joseph McCarthy in 1952. Incumbent Tammy Baldwin was first elected in 2012, defeating former governor Tommy Thompson by 6 percentage points. She was re-elected in 2018 by 11 percentage points.<ref>{{Cite news |title=Wisconsin |url=https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2012/results/states/wisconsin.html?mtrref=www.google.com&gwh=0A6D8CDBCDF02298B3800A5A9C15C1C2&gwt=regi&assetType=REGIWALL |access-date=2023-03-21 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |title=Wisconsin {{!}} Full Senate results |url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/results/wisconsin |access-date=2023-03-21 |website=www.cnn.com |language=en}}</ref>

The race was considered to be slightly favorable to Baldwin, despite Wisconsin's nearly even partisan lean, with most polls showing Baldwin to be the favorite to win.<ref name=FiveThirtyEight/><ref name=rcp/><ref name=270towin/><ref name=ddhq/>

Wisconsin is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since there are both a Republican and a Democratic senator representing the state. Wisconsin was also a top battleground state in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. The state backed the Republican candidate in 2016, and then the Democratic candidate in 2020, both by less than 1% and only a plurality.{{Citation needed|date=September 2024}}

Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Republicans control both chambers of the Wisconsin Legislature and hold a supermajority in Wisconsin's U.S. House delegation. Republicans also control the state's other Senate seat. However, Democrats had seen success in statewide races, including in 2022, where incumbent governor Tony Evers overperformed expectations and won reelection to a second term, despite polls showing his Republican challenger as the slight favorite.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Wisconsin 2020 presidential election results |url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/wisconsin/president |access-date=2023-03-21 |website=www.cnn.com |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |title=Opinion {{!}} In Wisconsin, Tony Evers made a virtue of being dull |language=en-US |newspaper=Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/11/11/evers-wisconsin-governor-trump/ |access-date=2023-03-21 |issn=0190-8286}}</ref>

==Democratic primary==

===Candidates===

==== Nominee ==== * Tammy Baldwin, incumbent U.S. senator<ref>{{cite news |last1=Wells |first1=Dylan |title=Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin announces reelection bid in Wisconsin |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/04/12/tammy-baldwin-senate-2024/ |newspaper=Washington Post |access-date=April 12, 2023 |date=April 12, 2023}}</ref>

===Endorsements=== {{Endorsements box | title = Tammy Baldwin | colwidth = 60 | list = '''U.S. representatives''' * Gabby Giffords, AZ-08 (2007–2012)<ref name="gif" />

'''Governors''' * Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan (2019–present)<ref>{{Cite web |author=A. O. L. Staff |date=2024-05-17 |title=Whitmer's Fight Like Hell PAC releases initial Senate endorsements |url=https://www.aol.com/news/whitmer-fight-hell-pac-releases-140720296.html |access-date=2024-06-14 |website=www.aol.com |language=en-US}}</ref>

'''Individuals''' * Harry Dunn, former U.S. Capitol Police officer<ref>{{cite news |last1=Kurtz |first1=Josh |title=Dunn's new PAC backs 10 Democratic Senate candidates, including Alsobrooks |url=https://marylandmatters.org/briefs/dunns-new-pac-backs-10-democratic-senate-candidates-including-alsobrooks/ |website=Maryland Matters |publisher=Maryland Matters |access-date=11 July 2024 |date=July 10, 2024}}</ref> * Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, labor organizer and president of NextGen America PAC (2021–present)<ref name=ramirez>{{Cite web |url=https://www.wispolitics.com/2023/nextgen-pac-endorses-sen-baldwin-ahead-of-2024-elections |title=NextGen PAC: Endorses Sen. Baldwin ahead of 2024 elections |website=Wispolitics.com |date=May 10, 2023 |access-date=May 10, 2023 |language=en-US}}</ref>

'''Labor unions''' * Actors' Equity Association<ref>{{cite web |title=Actors' Equity Association Endorses Tammy Baldwin for United States Senate |url=https://www.actorsequity.org/news/PR/BaldwinEndorsement2024/ |website=www.actorsequity.org |publisher=Actors' Equity Association |access-date=September 11, 2024 |date=August 7, 2024}}</ref> * Association of Flight Attendants<ref name="adacwaendorse">{{Cite web |title=AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election |url=https://www.afacwa.org/afa_endorsed_candidates_for_2024_election |access-date=2024-04-29 |website=Association of Flight Attendants-CWA |language=en}}</ref> * International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 2150<ref name=wisafl>{{Cite web |url=https://wisaflcio.org/news/wisconsin-afl-cio-endorses-tammy-baldwin-2024-senate-race |title=Wisconsin AFL-CIO Endorses Tammy Baldwin in 2024 Senate Race |date=May 26, 2023 |language=en-US |website=Wisconsin AFL-CIO |access-date=May 28, 2023}}</ref> * United Auto Workers<ref>{{Cite web |title=Wisconsin |url=https://uawendorsements.org/map/wisconsin/ |access-date=2024-02-14 |website=UAW Endorsements |language=en-US}}</ref> * United Steelworkers District 7<ref>{{cite web |title=Baldwin Campaign: United Steelworkers District 7 endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate |url=https://www.wispolitics.com/2023/baldwin-campaign-united-steelworkers-district-7-endorses-tammy-baldwin-for-u-s-senate/ |website=Wis Politics |access-date=February 27, 2024 |date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> * Wisconsin AFL-CIO<ref name=wisafl />

'''Organizations''' * 314 Action<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://314action.org/2023/06/09/314-action-fund-endorses-wisconsin-senator-tammy-baldwin-for-re-election-%ef%bf%bc/|title=314 Action Fund Endorses Wisconsin Senator Tammy Baldwin for Re-Election. - 3.14 Action}}</ref> * Bend the Arc<ref>{{Cite web |title=Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC |url=https://www.bendthearc.us/pac |access-date=2024-03-01 |website=Bend the Arc: Jewish Action |language=en}}</ref> * Council for a Livable World<ref>{{Cite web |title=Senate Candidates |url=https://livableworld.org/meet-the-candidates/senate-candidates/ |access-date=2023-08-24 |website=Council for a Livable World |language=en-US}}</ref> * EMILY's List<ref name="BaldwinAnnounce">{{cite web |last1=Andrea |first1=Lawrence |title=Tammy Baldwin launches re-election bid, setting up 2024 Senate battle in Wisconsin |url=https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/04/12/wisconsin-senator-tammy-baldwin-launches-2024-re-election-bid/70099191007/ |website=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel |access-date=April 12, 2023 |date=April 12, 2023}}</ref> * End Citizens United<ref name=ecu>{{Cite web |url=https://rollcall.com/2023/05/25/at-the-races-survey-says-what/ |title=At the Races: Survey Says What? |website=Roll Call |date=April 25, 2023 |access-date=May 25, 2023 |last1=McIntire |first1=Mary Ellen |last2=Altimari |first2=Altimari |last3=Jackson |first3=Herb |language=en-US}}</ref> * Fair Wisconsin PAC<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://fairwisconsin.com/about/fwpac/ |title=Fair Wisconsin Political Action Committee (PAC) |access-date=June 27, 2023 |website=Fair Wisconsin PAC |language=en-US |date=May 22, 2023}}</ref> * Feminist Majority PAC<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 – Feminist Majority PAC |url=https://feministmajoritypac.org/endorsements/2024/ |access-date=2023-04-11 |website=feministmajoritypac.org}}</ref> * Giffords<ref name="gif">{{Cite web |date=2023-09-06 |title=GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Tammy Baldwin for Reelection to the US Senate |url=https://giffords.org/articles/giffords-pac-endorses-tammy-baldwin-for-reelection-to-the-us-senate/ |access-date=2023-09-07 |website=Giffords |language=en-US}}</ref> * Human Rights Campaign<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-12-13 |title=Human Rights Campaign Endorses Wisconsin Senator Tammy Baldwin for Re-election |url=https://www.hrc.org/press-releases/human-rights-campaign-endorses-wisconsin-senator-tammy-baldwin-for-re-election |access-date=2023-12-14 |website=Human Rights Campaign |language=en-US}}</ref> * J Street PAC<ref>{{Cite web |title=Tammy Baldwin |url=https://jstreetpac.org/candidate/tammy-baldwin/ |access-date=2023-08-26 |website=JStreetPAC |language=en-US}}</ref> * Jewish Democratic Council of America<ref>{{Cite web |title=JDCA Announces First Round of 2024 Senate Endorsements |url=https://jewishdems.org/press_release/jdca-announces-first-round-of-2024-senate-endorsements-five-incumbents-in-competitive-races/ |access-date=2023-08-25 |website=Jewish Democratic Council of America |language=en-US}}</ref> * Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs<ref>{{Cite web |title=Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates {{!}} Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs |url=https://jacpac.org/story/23/06/28/meet-jacs-2024-candidates |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230901165858/https://jacpac.org/story/23/06/28/meet-jacs-2024-candidates |archive-date=2023-09-01 |access-date=2023-09-01 |website=jacpac.org}}</ref> * League of Conservation Voters<ref>{{Cite web |title=LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements |url=https://www.lcv.org/media-center/lcv-action-fund-announces-first-round-of-congressional-endorsements/ |access-date=2023-07-27 |website=League of Conservation Voters |language=en-US}}</ref> * LGBTQ Victory Fund<ref>{{Cite web |last=Fujii |first=Albert |title=LGBTQ+ Victory Fund Endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate |url=https://victoryfund.org/news/lgbtq-victory-fund-endorses-tammy-baldwin-for-u-s-senate/ |access-date=May 10, 2023|website=LGBTQ+ Victory Fund |language=en-US |date=April 24, 2023}}</ref> * LPAC<ref>{{Cite web |title=LPAC Announces April 2023 Endorsement Slate |url=https://www.teamlpac.com/the-latest/2023-april-endorsements |access-date=April 24, 2023 |website=LPAC |language=en-US |date=April 18, 2023}}</ref> * NARAL Pro-Choice America<ref>{{Cite web |last=Communications |date=2023-07-20 |title=NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Sen. Tammy Baldwin for Reelection to the U.S. Senate for Wisconsin |url=https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2023/07/20/naral-pro-choice-america-endorses-sen-tammy-baldwin-for-reelection-to-the-u-s-senate-for-wisconsin/ |access-date=2023-07-20 |website=NARAL Pro-Choice America |language=en-US |archive-date=July 20, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230720143013/https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2023/07/20/naral-pro-choice-america-endorses-sen-tammy-baldwin-for-reelection-to-the-u-s-senate-for-wisconsin/ |url-status=dead }}</ref> * National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare<ref>{{Cite web |last=Engst |first=Kodie |date=2024-03-18 |title=Baldwin campaign: National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare PAC endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate |url=https://www.wispolitics.com/2024/baldwin-campaign-national-committee-to-preserve-social-security-and-medicare-pac-endorses-tammy-baldwin-for-u-s-senate/ |access-date=2024-03-25 |website=WisPolitics |language=en-US}}</ref> * National Women's Political Caucus<ref>{{Cite web |title=Endorsed Candidates |url=https://www.nwpc.org/endorsedcandidates/ |access-date=2023-09-29 |website=National Women's Political Caucus |language=en-US}}</ref> * Natural Resources Defense Council<ref>{{Cite web |last=Dison |first=Denis |date=2023-09-20 |title=NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents |url=https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/news/nrdc-action-fund-endorses-51-house-senate-incumbents/ |access-date=2023-09-20 |website=NRDC Action Fund |language=en-US}}</ref> * NextGen America PAC<ref name=ramirez /> * People for the American Way<ref>{{cite press release |title=People For Endorses Seven New and Incumbent Senate Candidates in "Defend the Senate" Campaign |url=https://www.peoplefor.org/people-american-way-endorses-seven-new-and-incumbent-senate-candidates-defend-senate-campaign |access-date=July 29, 2024 |work=People for the American Way |date=July 29, 2024}}</ref> * Planned Parenthood Action Fund<ref>{{Cite web |title=Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024 |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/pressroom/planned-parenthood-action-fund-endorses-reproductive-rights-champions-baldwin-brown-gillibrand-rosen-tester-for-re-election-in-2024 |access-date=2023-07-31 |website=www.plannedparenthoodaction.org |language=en}}</ref> * Population Connection Action Fund<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 Endorsements |url=https://www.populationconnectionaction.org/vote/2024-endorsements/ |access-date=2023-08-25 |website=Population Connection Action Fund |language=en-US}}</ref> * Stonewall Democratic Club<ref>{{Cite web |title=2023 - 2024 Stonewall Endorsed Candidates |url=https://www.stonewalldems.org/2023_2024_stonewall_endorsed_candidates |access-date=2023-10-17 |website=Stonewall Democratic Club |language=en |archive-date=October 17, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231017134627/https://www.stonewalldems.org/2023_2024_stonewall_endorsed_candidates |url-status=dead }}</ref> * Swing Left<ref>{{Cite web |title=Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama. |url=https://swingleft.org/funds?funds_experiments=%257B%2522header-content%2522%253A%2522B%2522%252C%2522value-prop-graphic-placement%2522%253A%2522below%2522%257D |website=Swing Left}}</ref> }}

===Fundraising=== {| class="wikitable sortable" |- ! colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of July 24, 2024 |- style="text-align:center;" !Candidate !Raised !Spent !Cash on hand |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|Tammy Baldwin (D) |$36,476,704 |$30,268,932 |$6,349,965 |- ! colspan="4" |Source: Federal Election Commission<ref name="FEC">{{cite web |title=2024 Election United States Senate - Wisconsin |url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/WI/2024/ |website=fec.gov |publisher=Federal Election Commission |access-date=August 11, 2023}}</ref> |}

=== Results === {{Election box begin no change|title=Democratic primary results<ref name="prim1">{{cite web |title=WEC Canvass - 2024 Partisan Primary |url=https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/documents/County%20by%20County%20Report%20-%20US%20Senate.pdf |website=Wisconsin Elections Commission}}</ref>}} {{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Democratic Party (US)|candidate=Tammy Baldwin (incumbent)|votes=639,049|percentage=99.81%}}{{Election box write-in with party link no change|votes=1,198|percentage=0.19%}} {{Election box total no change|votes=640,247|percentage=100.0%}}{{Election box end}}

==Republican primary== ===Candidates=== ====Nominee==== * Eric Hovde, bank executive and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012<ref>{{cite news |work=NBC News |access-date=February 20, 2024 |date=February 20, 2024 |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/eric-hovde-enters-wisconsin-senate-race-rcna139258 |author=Edelman, Adam |title=Republican Eric Hovde officially enters Wisconsin Senate race against Tammy Baldwin}}</ref>

====Eliminated in primary==== * Charles Barman, retired construction superintendent and perennial candidate<ref name="tracker">{{cite report |url=https://elections.wi.gov/media/26156/download |title=Candidate Tracking by Office - 2024 General Election - 11/5/2024 |date=May 29, 2024 |publisher=Wisconsin Elections Commission |accessdate=May 30, 2024}}</ref> * Rejani Raveendran, chair of University of Wisconsin–Stevens Point College Republicans<ref>{{cite web |last1=Bauer |first1=Scott |title=A longshot Republican is entering the US Senate race in Wisconsin against Sen. Tammy Baldwin |url=https://www.townandcountrytoday.com/politics/a-longshot-republican-is-entering-the-us-senate-race-in-wisconsin-against-sen-tammy-baldwin-7379262 |publisher=Town and Country Today |date=August 8, 2023}}</ref>

==== Withdrew ==== * Stacey Klein, Trempealeau County supervisor<ref name=":0">{{Cite news |date=March 28, 2024 |title=Klein dropping U.S. Senate bid |url=https://www.wispolitics.com/2024/klein-dropping-u-s-senate-bid/ |access-date=March 28, 2024 |work=WisPolitics}}</ref> (''ran for state senate'')<ref>{{Cite news |date=April 9, 2024 |title=Klein campaign: Transitions campaign from U.S. Senate to Wisconsin state Senate District 32 |url=https://www.wispolitics.com/2024/klein-campaign-transitions-campaign-from-u-s-senate-to-wisconsin-state-senate-district-32/ |access-date=April 9, 2024 |work=Wispolitics}}</ref> * Patrick Schaefer-Wicke, retired U.S. Army Reserve sergeant major<ref name=":0" />

==== Declined ==== * David Clarke, former Milwaukee County Sheriff (2002-2017)<ref>{{Cite web |last=Andrea |first=Lawrence |title=Former sheriff David Clarke dismisses national Republicans' backing of Eric Hovde for Senate |url=https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/12/11/david-clarke-dismisses-national-gop-backing-of-eric-hovde-for-senate/71853245007/ |url-access=subscription |access-date=2025-07-03 |website=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel |language=en-US}}</ref> * Mike Gallagher, U.S. representative from {{ushr|WI|8}} (2017–2024)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/06/09/mike-gallagher-says-he-wont-challenge-democrat-tammy-baldwin-in-2024/70302961007/|title=Wisconsin Rep. Mike Gallagher says he will not run for Senate in 2024, leaving an open GOP field|last=Andrea|first=Lawrence|date=June 9, 2023|access-date=June 9, 2023|website=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel}}</ref> * Scott Mayer, staffing executive and former Indy Racing League driver<ref>{{cite news |work=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel |access-date=March 19, 2024 |url=https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/03/19/scott-mayer-wont-enter-gop-field-to-challenge-tammy-baldwin/73022159007/ |date=March 19, 2024 |author=Andrea, Lawrence |title=Scott Mayer won't enter Republican field to challenge Tammy Baldwin}}</ref> * Bryan Steil, U.S. representative from {{ushr|WI|1}} (2019–present)<ref>{{cite web |title=Website names purchased, big cash raised, but Steil 'not running,' Gallagher mum on running against 'popular' Baldwin |url=https://thebadgerproject.org/2023/05/24/website-names-purchased-big-cash-raised-but-steil-not-running-gallagher-mum-on-running-against-popular-baldwin/ |publisher=The Badger Project |access-date=May 25, 2023 |date=May 24, 2023 |author=Lieffring, Christina}}</ref> ''(ran for re-election, endorsed Hovde)''<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2023/02/13/wisconsin-republicans-who-could-challenge-sen-tammy-baldwin-in-2024/69871895007/ |title=Wisconsin Republicans Who Could Challenge Sen. Tammy Baldwin in 2024 |date=February 13, 2023 |work=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel |access-date=February 13, 2023 |author1=Glauber, Bill |author2=Andrea, Lawrence}}</ref><ref name="4/2 Live Digest">{{cite web|url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/4/2/2232303/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-4-2#update-1712073210000|title=Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 4/2|last=Singer|first=Jeff|date=April 2, 2024|access-date=April 2, 2024|quote=WI-Sen: Wealthy businessman Eric Hovde on Monday publicized endorsements from all five members of Wisconsin's GOP House delegation.|website=Daily Kos}}</ref> * Tom Tiffany, U.S. representative from {{ushr|WI|7}} (2020–present) ''(ran for re-election, endorsed Hovde)''<ref>{{Cite web |title=U.S. Rep. Tiffany says he will not run for Senate in 2024 |url=https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2023/08/01/tom-tiffany-will-not-challege-tammy-baldwin/70502466007/ |access-date=August 1, 2023 |date=August 1, 2023 |website=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel |language=en-US |last=Andrea |first=Lawrence}}</ref><ref name="4/2 Live Digest"/> * Scott Walker, former governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019)<ref>{{Cite web |last=Glauber |first=Bill |date=March 20, 2023 |title=Scott Walker won't challenge Democratic U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin in 2024: 'I would be bored as a senator' |url=https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2023/03/20/scott-walker-wont-challenge-tammy-baldwin-for-u-s-senate-in-2024/70029071007/ |access-date=March 20, 2023 |website=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel |language=en-US}}</ref> ''(endorsed Hovde)''<ref name="2/16 digest">{{cite news |work=Daily Kos |title=Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/16 |date=February 16, 2024 |access-date=February 16, 2024 |url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/2/16/2222968/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-2-16#update-1708120061000 |author=Singer, Jeff |quote=WI-Sen: Former GOP Gov. Scott Walker has endorsed wealthy businessman Eric Hovde}}</ref>

===Endorsements=== {{Endorsements box | title = Eric Hovde | list = '''Executive branch officials''' * Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)<ref>{{cite news |work=The Hill |date=April 2, 2024 |access-date=April 2, 2024 |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4570991-trump-endorses-eric-hovde-in-wisconsin-senate-race/ |author=Vakil, Caroline |title=Trump endorses Eric Hovde in Wisconsin Senate race}}</ref>

'''U.S. senators''' * Ron Johnson, U.S. senator from Wisconsin (2011–present)<ref>{{cite news |work=WHSV-TV |access-date=October 22, 2024 |last=Staff |first=WHSV News |date=July 16, 2024 |url=https://www.whsv.com/video/2024/07/17/sen-ron-johnson-talks-about-us-senate-candidate-hovde/ |title=Sen. Ron Johnson talks about US Senate candidate Hovde}}</ref>

'''U.S. representatives''' * Scott Fitzgerald, U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 5th congressional district (2021–present)<ref name="4/2 Live Digest"/> * Glenn Grothman, U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 6th congressional district (2015–present)<ref name="4/2 Live Digest"/> * Bryan Steil, U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (2019–present)<ref name="4/2 Live Digest"/> * Tom Tiffany, U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 7th congressional district (2020–present)<ref name="4/2 Live Digest"/> * Derrick Van Orden, U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district (2023–present)<ref name="4/2 Live Digest"/>

'''Statewide officials''' * Scott Walker, former governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019)<ref name="2/16 digest"/>

'''Organizations''' * Americans for Prosperity<ref>{{Cite web |last=Action |first=A. F. P. |date=2024-02-21 |title=Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Eric Hovde for U.S. Senate |url=https://afpaction.com/americans-for-prosperity-action-endorses-eric-hovde-for-u-s-senate/ |access-date=2024-02-21 |website=AFP Action |language=en-US}}</ref> * National Republican Senatorial Committee<ref>{{cite news |last1=Valentine |first1=Jesse |title=Republican Eric Hovde makes inconsistent statements about family history |url=https://americanjournalnews.com/republican-eric-hovde-makes-inconsistent-statements-about-family-history/ |access-date=March 2, 2024 |publisher=American Journal News |date=February 26, 2024}}</ref> * Republican Party of Wisconsin * University of Wisconsin–Madison College Republicans<ref>{{Cite web |last=Action |first=F.C.R. |date=2024-02-21 |title=University of Wisconsin-Madison College Republicans Endorse Eric Hovde for U.S. Senate |url=https://twitter.com/fcruwmadison/status/1760370015248031978 |access-date=2024-02-25 |website=Twitter|language=en-US}}</ref> * Wisconsin Federation of College Republicans<ref>{{Cite web |access-date=March 11, 2024 |date=March 11, 2024 |title=Wisconsin Federation of College Republicans Endorsements |url=https://www.wicrs.gop/endorsements}}</ref> * Wisconsin Young Republicans }}

===Fundraising=== {| class="wikitable sortable" |- ! colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of July 24, 2024 |- style="text-align:center;" !Candidate !Raised !Spent !Cash on hand |- |{{party shading/Republican}}|Eric Hovde (R) |$16,788,769{{efn|$13,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Hovde}} |$13,609,814 |$3,178,955 |- |{{party shading/Republican}}|Rejani Raveendran (R) |$39,888{{Efn|$10,000 of this total was self-funded by Raveendran}} |$38,695 |$1,192 |- |{{party shading/Republican}}|''Stacey Klein (R)''{{efn|Withdrew}} |''$33,712'' |''$33,712'' |''$0'' |- ! colspan="4" |Source: Federal Election Commission<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 Election United States Senate - Wisconsin |url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/WI/2024/ |access-date=2024-09-07 |website=FEC.gov |language=en}}</ref> |}

===Polling=== {{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);}} {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |- valign=bottom ! Poll source ! Date(s) administered ! Sample size{{efn|name=Key|}} ! Margin of error ! style="width:100px;"| David Clarke ! style="width:100px;"| Mike Gallagher ! style="width:100px;"| Eric Hovde ! style="width:100px;"| Scott Mayer ! style="width:100px;"| Tom Tiffany ! Undecided |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="3"|Public Policy Polling (D)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/clarke-trump-dominate-with-wisconsin-republicans/|title=Clarke, Trump dominate with Wisconsin Republicans|website=Public Policy Polling|date=December 13, 2023}}</ref> |rowspan="3"| December 11–12, 2023 |rowspan="3"| 503 (LV) |rowspan="3"| ± 4.4% |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''52%''' |– |7% |6% |– |36% |- |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''51%''' |– |10% |– |– |39% |- |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''52%''' |– |– |6% |– |42% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Public Policy Polling (D)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/wisconsin-republicans-prefer-clarke-trump/|title=Wisconsin Republicans Prefer Clarke, Trump |website=Public Policy Polling|date=June 8, 2023}}</ref> |rowspan="2"| June 5–6, 2023 |rowspan="2"| 507 (LV) |rowspan="2"| ± 4.4% |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''40%''' |20% |3% |– |10% |27% |- |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''45%''' |26% |– |– |– |29% |} {{hidden end}}

=== Results === {{Election box begin no change|title=Republican primary results<ref name="prim1"/>}} {{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Eric Hovde|votes=477,197|percentage=86.21%}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Charles Barman|votes=40,990|percentage=7.40%}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Rejani Raveendran|votes=34,612|percentage=6.25%}}{{Election box write-in with party link no change|votes=748|percentage=0.14%}} {{Election box total no change|votes=553,547|percentage=100.0%}}{{Election box end}}

==Independent candidates== ===Candidates=== ====Declared==== * Phil Anderson (Disrupt The Corruption), realtor, former chair of the Wisconsin Libertarian Party, and perennial candidate<ref>{{cite news |last=Frisk |first=Garrett |date=March 28, 2023 |title=First Declared Challenger to Tammy Baldwin is a Libertarian |url=http://www.diamondeyecandidatereport.weebly.com/home/first-declared-challenger-to-tammy-baldwin-is-a-libertarian |work=Diamond Eye Candidate Report}}</ref><ref name="2024tracker">{{Cite report|url= https://elections.wi.gov/media/26396/download |title= Candidate Tracking by Office - 2024 General Election - 11/5/2024 |publisher= Wisconsin Elections Commission |date= May 23, 2024 |pages= 1–2|accessdate= May 24, 2024 }}</ref> * Thomas Leager (America First), lobbyist<ref>{{cite web |last1=Bice |first1=Daniel |title=Thomas Leager is running for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin. He claims ties to Whitmer plot |url=https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/05/third-party-wisconsin-candidate-claims-ties-to-gretchen-whitmer-plot/74637534007/ |website=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel |date=August 5, 2024 |access-date=September 1, 2024 |archive-date=August 13, 2024 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240813142153/https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/05/third-party-wisconsin-candidate-claims-ties-to-gretchen-whitmer-plot/74637534007/ |url-status=bot: unknown }}</ref>

== General election == ===Predictions=== {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" !Source !Ranking !As of |- | align=left | The Cook Political Report<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 Senate Race ratings |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings |access-date=2023-01-25 |website=Cook Political Report |language=en}}</ref> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |October 8, 2024 |- | align=left | Inside Elections<ref>{{cite web |date=January 6, 2023|access-date=January 10, 2023 |title=Senate Ratings |url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate |publisher=Inside Elections}}</ref> | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D}} |September 26, 2024 |- | align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball<ref>{{cite web |date=January 24, 2023|access-date=February 13, 2023 |title=2024 Senate |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-senate/ |publisher=Sabato's Crystal Ball}}</ref> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} |September 25, 2024 |- | align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/senate/ |title=2024 Senate prediction map |date=June 8, 2024 |website=elections2024.thehill.com/ |publisher=The Hill |access-date=June 8, 2024}}</ref> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |September 26, 2024 |- | align=left | Elections Daily<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-08-01 |title=Election Ratings |url=https://elections-daily.com/election-ratings/ |access-date=2023-08-02 |website=Elections Daily |language=en-US}}</ref> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} |August 9, 2024 |- | align=left | CNalysis<ref>{{Cite web |title='24 Senate Forecast |url=https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/senate |access-date=November 21, 2023 |website=CNalysis |language=en-US}}</ref> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} |November 4, 2024 |- | align=left | RealClearPolitics<ref>{{Cite web |title=Battle for the Senate 2024 |url=https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/senate/2024/toss-up |access-date=August 5, 2024 |website=RealClearPolitics |language=en-US}}</ref> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |September 15, 2024 |- | align="left" | Split Ticket<ref>{{cite web |title=2024 Senate Forecast |url=https://split-ticket.org/senate-2024-ratings/ |website=Split Ticket |access-date=23 October 2024}}</ref> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D|}} |October 23, 2024 |- | align="left" | 538<ref>{{cite web |title=2024 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/senate/ |archive-url=https://archive.today/20241026222925/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/senate/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=October 26, 2024 |website=FiveThirtyEight |access-date=23 October 2024}}</ref> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D|}} |October 24, 2024 |}

===Post-primary endorsements=== {{Endorsements box | title = Eric Hovde (R) | width = 50em | list = '''U.S. senators''' * John Thune, Senate Minority Whip (2021–2025) from South Dakota (2005–present)<ref>{{cite news |last=Mutnick |first=Ally |title=John Thune doles out the money as he runs for Senate GOP leader |url=https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/10/15/2024-elections-live-coverage-updates-analysis/john-thune-super-pac-donations-00183824 |access-date=October 17, 2024 |work=Politico |date=October 15, 2024 |language=en}}</ref>

'''Individuals''' * Robert F. Kennedy Jr., independent candidate for president in 2024<ref>{{cite news |last=Mutnick |first=Ally |title=John Thune doles out the money as he runs for Senate GOP leader |url=https://x.com/erichovde/status/1853226344932368476?s=46|access-date=October 17, 2024 |work=Politico |date=October 15, 2024 |language=en}}</ref> *Ben Shapiro, editor emeritus of The Daily Wire<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/02/ben-shapiro-gop-fundraiser-00176942?nid=0000014f-1646-d88f-a1cf-5f46b7bd0000&nlid=630318&nname=playbook&nrid=0000014e-f0f2-dd93-ad7f-f8f7d7c80003|title=Ben Shapiro loves trolling liberals. Republicans are putting that to use.|last=Isenstadt|first=Alex|date=September 2, 2024|access-date=November 9, 2025|website=Politico}}</ref> }} {{Endorsements box | title = Tammy Baldwin (D) | width = 50em | list = '''Executive branch officials''' * Kamala Harris, vice president of the United States (2021–2025)<ref>{{cite web |title=Remarks by Vice President Harris at a Campaign Event |url=https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2024/09/20/remarks-by-vice-president-harris-at-a-campaign-event-madison-wi/ |website=The White House |access-date=9 October 2024 |location=Madison, Wisconsin}}</ref>

'''Individuals''' * Cardi B, rapper<ref>{{Cite tweet |user=tammybaldwin |number=1852545319898140848 |title=Cardi B x Tammy B}}</ref>

'''Organizations''' * Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation<ref>{{Cite web |title=Baldwin, Tiffany and Van Orden Among Federal Candidates Endorsed by WFBF Board |url=https://wfbf.com/farm-bureau-news/baldwin-tiffany-and-van-orden-among-federal-candidates-endorsed-by-wfbf-board/ |website=Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation}}</ref> }}

===Debates=== {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;" |+ 2024 Wisconsin U.S. Senate election debate |- ! scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}} ! scope="col" | Date ! scope="col" | Host ! scope="col" | Moderators ! scope="col" | Link ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Republican |- ! colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key: {{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"| |- ! scope="col" | Baldwin ! scope="col" | Hovde |- !1 | style="white-space:nowrap;" | October 18, 2024 | style="white-space:nowrap;" | WMTV | style="white-space:nowrap;" | Jill Geisler | style="white-space:nowrap;" | [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nCtuVdjo7F4 YouTube] | {{D-P|'''P'''}} | {{D-P|'''P'''}} |}

=== Polling === '''Aggregate polls''' {| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px" !Source of poll aggregation !Dates administered !Dates updated ! style="width:100px;"| Tammy Baldwin (D) ! style="width:100px;"| Eric Hovde (R) ! Undecided {{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=|group=}} !Margin |- |FiveThirtyEight<ref name=FiveThirtyEight>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/wisconsin/general/|title=Who's ahead in the Wisconsin Senate general election?|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241108231057/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/wisconsin/general/|archive-date=November 8, 2024|access-date=March 10, 2025}}</ref> |through November 4, 2024 |November 4, 2024 |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49.3%''' |47.1% |3.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''Baldwin +2.2''' |- |Real Clear Politics<ref name=rcp>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/wisconsin/hovde-vs-baldwin|title=2024 Wisconsin Senate - Hovde vs. Baldwin|website=RealClearPolitics|access-date=March 10, 2025}}</ref> |October 16 – November 4, 2024 |November 4, 2024 |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48.9%''' |47.1% |4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''Baldwin +1.8''' |- |270toWin<ref name=270towin>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.270towin.com/2024-senate-polls/wisconsin|title=2024 Polls: Wisconsin Senate|website=270toWin|access-date=March 10, 2025}}</ref> |October 23 – November 4, 2024 |November 4, 2024 |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48.9%''' |46.9% |4.2% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''Baldwin +2.0''' |- |TheHill/DDHQ<ref name=ddhq>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://elections2024.thehill.com/wisconsin/wisconsin-senate-baldwin-hovde/|title=Wisconsin Senate polls, Baldwin vs. Hovde|website=The Hill|access-date=March 10, 2025}}</ref> |through November 4, 2024 |November 4, 2024 |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48.6%''' |47.9% |3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''Baldwin +0.7''' |- | colspan="3" |'''Average''' |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48.9%''' |47.3% |3.8% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''Baldwin+1.6''' |} {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |- style="vertical-align:bottom" ! Poll source ! Date(s) administered ! Sample size{{efn|name=Key}} ! Margin of error ! style="width:100px;"| Tammy Baldwin (D) ! style="width:100px;"| Eric Hovde (R) ! Other ! Undecided |- |style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/616d82d3-e782-4d6e-b690-9eed1523fe75.pdf#page=198|title=Atlas Poll - US Key States - November 4, 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=November 4, 2024}}</ref> |November 3–4, 2024 |869 (LV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |48% |1%{{Efn|name=AtI31}} |2% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Research Co.<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://researchco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Tables_USStates_04Nov2024.pdf#page=12|title=Polls conducted by Research Co. in the United States|website=Research Co.|date=November 4, 2024}}</ref> |November 2–3, 2024 |450 (LV) |± 4.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |47% |2%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%}} |3% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Patriot Polling (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/final-2024-presidential-poll|title=Final 2024 Presidential Poll|first=Lucca|last=Ruggieri|website=Patriot Polling|date=November 3, 2024}}</ref> |November 1–3, 2024 |835 (RV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |49% |– |– |- |style="text-align:left;"|The Trafalgar Group (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/WI-Gen-Pres-Report-1103.pdf|title=Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - November 2024|website=The Trafalgar Group|date=November 3, 2024}}</ref> |November 1–3, 2024 |1,086 (LV) |± 2.9% |'''48%''' |'''48%''' |– |4% |- |style="text-align:left;"|InsiderAdvantage (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-surveys-az-mi-wi-pa-nc/|title=InsiderAdvantage Surveys: AZ, MI, WI, PA, NC|website=InsiderAdvantage|date=November 3, 2024}}</ref> |November 1–2, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.4% |47% |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''48%''' |3% |2% |- |style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/f41e83be-de61-4d59-9c46-f5f91cbf00fa.pdf#page=117|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - November 2, 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=November 2, 2024}}</ref> |November 1–2, 2024 |728 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |48% |1%{{Efn|name=AtI31|"Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 1%}} |2% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-final-swing-state-polls-too-close-to-call-election-for-president/|title=November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President|website=Emerson College Polling|date=November 4, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=Hill}} |October 30 – November 2, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |45% |– |4% |- |rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|New York Times/Siena College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/03/us/elections/times-siena-wisconsin-poll-toplines.html|title=Toplines: October 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Wisconsin|website=The New York Times |date=November 3, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="2"|October 25 – November 2, 2024 |1,001 (LV) |± 3.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |46% |– |5% |- |1,001 (RV) |± 3.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |46% |– |4% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Mainstreet Research/FAU<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Mainstreet_WI_Oct_2024_Public.pdf|title=Mainstreet Research Survey - Wisconsin|website=FAU Polling|date=November 4, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="2"|October 25 – November 2, 2024 |786 (LV) |± 3.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |45% |3%{{efn|name=FAU3}} |4% |- |798 (RV) |± 3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |45% |3%{{efn|name=FAU3|"Another candidate" with 3%}} |5% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult<ref name="Morning Consult">{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls|title=Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State|first1=Cameron|last1=Easley|first2=Eli|last2=Yokley|website=Morning Consult|date=September 9, 2024}}</ref> |October 23 – November 1, 2024 |541 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |47% |– |4% |- |style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ff8a5b86-e293-44f4-8162-166002248f55.pdf#page=117|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 31, 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=October 31, 2024}}</ref> |October 30–31, 2024 |673 (LV) |± 4.0% |'''49%''' |'''49%''' |1%{{Efn|name=AtI31}} |1% |- |style="text-align:left;"|YouGov<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20241101.pdf#page=385|title=The Times / SAY Poll: October 25-31, 2024|website=YouGov|date=November 1, 2024}}</ref>{{efn-ua|name=times}} |October 25–31, 2024 |863 (LV) |± 4.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |45% |– |5% |- |style="text-align:left;"|OnMessage Inc. (R)<ref>{{Cite tweet|user=NYCSamKay|number=1852415641007075796|title=We also polled the Senate races in these key states. @OnMessageInc PA: 46 McCormick / 46 Casey MI: 46 Rogers / 47 Slotkin WI: 47 Hovde / 48 Baldwin AZ: 48 Lake / 48 Gallego}}</ref> |October 29–31, 2024 |800 (LV) |– |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |47% |– |5% |- |style="text-align:left;"|ActiVote<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.activote.net/baldwin-still-leads-comfortably-in-wisconsin/|title=Baldwin Still Leads Comfortably in Wisconsin|first=Victor|last=Allis|website=ActiVote|date=November 1, 2024}}</ref> |October 6–31, 2024 |400 (LV) |± 4.9% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |46% |– |– |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|TIPP Insights (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://amgreatness.com/2024/10/31/wisconsin-headed-for-a-photo-finish-hovde-charging-per-polling/|title=Wisconsin Headed for a Photo Finish, Hovde Charging, Per Polling|website=American Greatness|date=October 31, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=AmG}} |rowspan="2"|October 28–30, 2024 |831 (LV) |± 3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |46% |1% |4% |- |1,038 (RV) |± 3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |43% |3% |7% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Marist College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-wisconsin-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-in-wisconsin-november-2024/|title=Marist Wisconsin Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in Wisconsin, November 2024|website=Marist Poll|date=November 1, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="2"|October 27–30, 2024 |1,330 (LV) |± 3.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |48% |– |1% |- |1,444 (RV) |± 3.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |48% |– |1% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Echelon Insights<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/oct2024-wi-poll/|title=Trump and Harris are in a dead heat in Wisconsin — 48-48|website=Echelon Insights|date=October 31, 2024}}</ref> |October 27–30, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |48% |1%{{Efn|"I Did Note Vote For This Office" with 1%}} |2% |- |style="text-align:left;"|SoCal Strategies (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://substack.com/inbox/post/150924460|title=On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies Wisconsin Poll|website=Substack|date=October 30, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=OPP}} |October 28–29, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |48% |– |3% |- |style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/12bd169b-6db5-44be-9429-90f44ba0d845.pdf#page=119|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 29, 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=October 29, 2024}}</ref> |October 25–29, 2024 |1,470 (LV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |48% |2%{{Efn|name=AI1|"Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 1%; "Other" with 1%}} |2% |- |style="text-align:left;"|CNN/SSRS<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25260111/cnn-polls-in-michigan-pennsylvania-and-wisconsin.pdf|title=CNN Polls in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin|website=DocumentCloud|date=October 30, 2024}}</ref> |October 23–28, 2024 |736 (LV) |± 4.8% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |47% |4%{{Efn|"Other" with 3%; "Neither" with 1%}} |– |- |style="text-align:left;"|InsiderAdvantage (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-wisconsin-survey-trump-leads-by-one-point-hovde-leads-by-one-in-tight-senate-race/|title=InsiderAdvantage Wisconsin Survey: Trump Leads by One Point; Hovde Leads by One in Tight Senate Race|website=InsiderAdvantage|date=October 29, 2024}}</ref> |October 26–27, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.5% |48% |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''49%''' |1% |2% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="6"|Marquette University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/10/30/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-october-16-24-2024/|title=Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll – October 16 – 24, 2024|first=Charles|last=Franklin|website=Marquette University Law School|date=October 30, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="6"|October 16–24, 2024 |rowspan="3"|753 (LV) |rowspan="6"|± 4.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |47% |3%{{Efn|name=MUQ1}} |1% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |45% |– |7% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |49% |– |– |- |rowspan="3"|834 (RV) |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |46% |3%{{efn|name=MUQ1|Anderson (I) with 2%; Leager (I) with 1%}} |1% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |44% |– |8% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |49% |– |– |- |style="text-align:left;"|Suffolk University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2024/10_28_2024_wisconsin_statewide_marginals.pdf|title=Wisconsin Statewide and Bellwether with USA TODAY marginals|website=Suffolk University|date=October 28, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=USAToday|Poll sponsored by USA Today}} |October 20–23, 2024 |500 (LV) |± 4.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |44% |4%{{efn|Leager (I) with 2%; Anderson (I) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%}} |7% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-race/|title=October 2024 Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Race|website=Emerson College Polling|date=October 24, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld}} |October 21–22, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.4% |'''48%''' |'''48%''' |1%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%}} |3% |- |style="text-align:left;"|OnMessage Inc. (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://senopportunity.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-SOF-Battground-Polling-NV-OH-WI-Deck.pdf|title=Senate Opportunity Fund - Battleground Polling|website=Senate Opportunity Fund|date=October 25, 2024}}</ref>{{efn-ua|name=SOF|Poll sponsored by Senate Opportunity Fund, a super PAC that primarily supports Republican candidates in U.S. Senate races}} |October 19–22, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |48% |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''49%''' |1%{{efn|Anderson (I) with 1%}} |3% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3915|title=Swing State Poll 2024: Michigan, Wisconsin: Gender Divide Defines Tight Races In Rust Belt Battlegrounds, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Dem Holds Lead In MI, Very Close In WI|website=Quinnipiac University Poll|date=October 23, 2024}}</ref> |October 17–21, 2024 |1,108 (LV) |± 2.9% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |48% |2%{{Efn|"Someone else" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%}} |1% |- |style="text-align:left;"|The Trafalgar Group (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/WI-Gen-Pres-Report-1021.pdf|title=Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - October 2024|website=The Trafalgar Group|date=October 21, 2024}}</ref> |October 18–20, 2024 |1,083 (LV) |± 2.9% |48% |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''49%''' |– |3% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-october-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=October 21, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=telegraph}} |October 16–18, 2024 |622 (LV) |± 3.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''45%''' |44% |4%{{Efn|name=RLA1|"Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 1% each}} |8% |- |style="text-align:left;"|The Bullfinch Group<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.thebullfinchgroup.com/post/your-election-guide-for-the-midrust-battlegrounds|title=Your Election Guide for the Midrust Battlegrounds|website=The Bullfinch Group|date=October 18, 2024}}</ref> |October 11–18, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |45% |– |7% |- |style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/023fa4e7-4d28-4903-b4cd-57241a0f5e08.pdf#page=155|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=October 19, 2024}}</ref> |October 12–17, 2024 |932 (LV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |46% |2%{{Efn|name=AI1}} |3% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|RMG Research<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://napolitaninstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/GCM24-WI10-Mini-Toplines-Senate.pdf|title=Napolitan News Service Survey of 787 Likely Voters in Wisconsin |website=Napolitan Institute|date=October 17, 2024}}</ref>{{efn-ua|name=NI|Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute}} |rowspan="2"|October 10–16, 2024 |rowspan="2"|787 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |46% |3%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%}} |2% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |47% |1%{{efn|"Would not vote" with 1%}} |2% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult<ref name="Morning Consult"/> |October 6–15, 2024 |527 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |44% |– |7% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Patriot Polling (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-baldwin-hold-narrow-leads-in-wisconsin|title=Trump and Baldwin hold narrow leads in Wisconsin|website=Patriot Polling|date=October 15, 2024}}</ref> |October 12–14, 2024 |803 (RV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |49% |– |– |- |style="text-align:left;"|InsiderAdvantage (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|news|url=https://pollingplus.com/news/insideradvantage-surveys-trump-leads-by-two-points-in-michigan-race-all-tied-up-in-wisconsin/|title=InsiderAdvantage Surveys: Trump Leads by Two Points in Michigan; Race All Tied Up in Wisconsin|website=Polling Plus|date=October 10, 2024}}</ref> |October 8–9, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |47% |2% |3% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-state-polls-mixed-movement-across-swing-states-shows-dead-heat/|title=October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat|website=Emerson College Polling|date=October 10, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=Hill}} |October 5–8, 2024 |1,000 (LV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |46% |– |5% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Research Co.<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://researchco.ca/2024/10/08/battlegrounds-us-2024/|title=Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Lean Blue in 2024 Race|first=Mario|last=Canseco|website=Research Co.|date=October 8, 2024}}</ref> |October 5–7, 2024 |450 (LV) |± 4.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |43% |1%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 1%}} |9% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3913|title=Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Blue Wall Shows Cracks As Race Tightens, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Michigan Moves To Toss-Up, Dems Lead In PA & WI|website=Quinnipiac University Poll|date=October 9, 2024}}</ref> |October 3–7, 2024 |1,073 (LV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |46% |2%{{Efn|name="WVR1"|"Wouldn't vote" and "Refused" with 1% each}} |2% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-september-2-october-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=October 7, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=telegraph}} |September 27 – October 2, 2024 |533 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |42% |4%{{Efn|name=RLA1}} |7% |- |style="text-align:left;"|The Trafalgar Group (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/WI-Gen-Pres-Report-1001.pdf|title=Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - September 2024|website=The Trafalgar Group|date=October 1, 2024}}</ref> |September 28–30, 2024 |1,083 (LV) |± 2.9% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |46% |– |6% |- |style="text-align:left;"|ActiVote<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.activote.net/baldwin-leads-comfortably-in-wisconsin/|title=Baldwin Leads Comfortably in Wisconsin|first=Victor|last=Allis|website=ActiVote|date=September 30, 2024}}</ref> |August 29 – September 29, 2024 |400 (LV) |± 4.9% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |46% |– |– |- |rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|New York Times/Siena College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/28/us/elections/times-siena-wisconsin-crosstabs.html|title=Cross-Tabs: September 2024 Times/Siena Poll of the Wisconsin Likely Electorate|website=The New York Times |date=September 28, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="2"|September 21–26, 2024 |680 (LV) |± 4.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |43% |– |7% |- |680 (RV) |± 4.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |42% |– |8% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="6"|Marquette University<ref name="Marquette University">{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/10/02/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-september-18-26-2024/|title=Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll – September 18-26, 2024|first=Charles|last=Franklin|website=Marquette University Law School|date=October 2, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="6"|September 18–26, 2024 |rowspan="3"|798 (LV) |rowspan="6"|± 4.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |45% |2%{{Efn|name=LA1|Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 1%}} |1% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |43% |– |9% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |46% |– |1% |- |rowspan="3"|882 (RV) |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |45% |2%{{Efn|name=LA1}} |1% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |43% |– |9% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |46% |– |1% |- |style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/9e0da6ea-7e9c-498c-89e3-511bd7344cd0.pdf#page=125|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - September 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=September 28, 2024}}</ref> |September 20–25, 2024 |1,077 (LV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |47% |3%{{Efn|"Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%}} |2% |- |rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/swing-state-polling-finds-deadlocked-presidential|title=Swing State Polling Finds Deadlocked Presidential Contest, 'Blue Wall' Senate Races Tighten|first1=Amy|last1=Walter|first2=Jessica|last2=Taylor|date=October 2, 2024|website=Cook Political Report}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=CPR}} |rowspan="2"|September 19–25, 2024 |rowspan="2"|411 (LV) |rowspan="2"|– |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |44% |4%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 2%}} |5% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |47% |– |4% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|RMG Research<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://napolitaninstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/GCM24-WI09-Mini-Toplines-Senate.pdf|title=Napolitan News Service Survey of 788 Likely Voters in Wisconsin|website=Napolitan Institute|date=September 27, 2024}}</ref>{{efn-ua|name=NI}} |rowspan="2"|September 17–23, 2024 |rowspan="2"|788 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |44% |2%{{efn|name="SE2"}} |4% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |45% |– |4% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Remington Research Group (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|news|url=https://www.afpm.org/sites/default/files/issue_resources/Sept24_RemingtonStatePollsEVMandate.pdf|title=Polling data on Biden-Harris gas car ban and EV mandate policies|website=American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers|date=October 1, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=AFPM}} |September 16–20, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |47% |– |4% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-september-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=September 23, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=telegraph|Poll sponsored by ''The Daily Telegraph''}} |September 16–19, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 3.7% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |41% |4%{{Efn|"Won't vote if these are the candidates", "Other", Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 1%}} |8% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-presidential-race/|title=September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race|website=Emerson College Polling|date=September 19, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=Hill}} |September 15–18, 2024 |1,000 (LV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |46% |– |5% |- |style="text-align:left|MassINC Polling Group<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://wisconsinwatch.org/2024/09/harris-trump-wisconsin-watch-poll-voters-election-president/|title=Kamala Harris has largest post-debate lead yet over Donald Trump in new Wisconsin Watch poll|first=Jack|last=Kelly|website=Wisconsin Watch|date=September 23, 2024}}</ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch}} |September 12–18, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.8% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |44% |1%{{efn| "Prefer not to say" with 1% }} |2% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult<ref name="Morning Consult"/> |September 9–18, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |43% |– |7% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Marist College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/u-s-presidential-contest-in-wisconsin-september-2024/|title=U.S. Presidential Contest in Wisconsin, September 2024 - One Point Separates Harris & Trump Among Wisconsin Likely Voters|website=Marist Poll|date=September 19, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="2"|September 12–17, 2024 |1,312 (RV) |± 3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |46% |– |1% |- |1,194 (LV) |± 3.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |48% |– |1% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3905|title=Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Harris Ahead In 2 Key Battleground States, 3rd State Up For Grabs, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Democrats Have Leads In All 3 States|website=Quinnipiac University Poll|date=September 18, 2024}}</ref> |September 12–16, 2024 |1,075 (LV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |47% |2%{{Efn|name="WVR1"}} |1% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|journal|url=https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/wisconsin-older-voter-survey-september-2024.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.036.pdf|title=Wisconsin Voter Survey, September 2024|website=AARP|date=September 18, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=AARP|Poll sponsored by ''AARP''}} |September 11–14, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |47% |– |3% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-6-9-september-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=September 10, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=telegraph}} |September 6–9, 2024 |626 (LV) |± 3.7% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |39% |4%{{Efn|name=RLA1}} |12% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult<ref name="Morning Consult"/> |August 30 – September 8, 2024 |638 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |42% |– |9% |- |style="text-align:left;"|co/efficient (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://coefficient.org/ivf-wi/|title=Wisconsin Statewide - Hope Act Poll|website=co/efficient|date=September 6, 2024}}</ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Americans for IVF}} |September 4–6, 2024 |917 (LV) |± 3.2% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |43% |– |8% |- |style="text-align:left;"|CBS News/YouGov<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/michigan-pennsylvania-wisconsin-senate-poll/|title=CBS News poll for 2024 Senate races shows Democrats lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin|first=Kabir|last=Khanna|date=September 9, 2024|website=CBS News}}</ref> |September 3–6, 2024 |944 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |43% |2%{{efn|name="SE2"|"Someone else" with 2%}} |4% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="6"|Marquette University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/09/11/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-august-28-september-5-2024/|title=Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll – August 28 – September 5, 2024 |first=Charles|last=Franklin|website=Marquette University Law School|date=September 11, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="6"|August 28 – September 5, 2024 |rowspan="3"|822 (RV) |rowspan="3"|± 4.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |45% |4%{{Efn|name=LA2|Leager (I) and Anderson (I) with 2%}} |1% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |44% |– |8% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |48% |– |1% |- |rowspan="3"|738 (LV) |rowspan="3"|± 4.7% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |45% |4%{{Efn|name=LA2}} |1% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |44% |– |7% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |47% |– |1% |- |style="text-align:left;"|YouGov<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240904_state_poll_results_XTElWNX.pdf#page=187|title=The Times / SAY Poll: Wisconsin|website=YouGov|date=September 5, 2024}}</ref>{{efn-ua|name=times}} |August 23 – September 3, 2024 |900 (RV) |± 4.1% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |41% |– |10% |- |style="text-align:left;"|The Trafalgar Group (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/WI-Gen-Pres-Poll-Report-0831.pdf|title=Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey - August 2024|website=The Trafalgar Group|date=August 31, 2024}}</ref> |August 28–30, 2024 |1,083 (LV) |± 2.9% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |44% |– |6% |- |style="text-align:left;"|CNN/SRSS<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/cnn-polls-battleground-states/index.html|title=CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups|first1=Jennifer|last1=Agiesta|first2=Ariel|last2=Edwards-Levy|first3=Edward|last3=Wu|website=CNN|date=September 4, 2024}}</ref> |August 23–29, 2024 |976 (LV) |± 4.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |45% |3%{{efn|"Other" with 2%; "Neither" with 1%}} |– |- |style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-28-august-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=August 30, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=telegraph}} |August 25–28, 2024 |672 (LV) |± 3.5% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |41% |3%{{Efn|Leager with 1%; Anderson with 1%; "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 1%}} |11% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-swing-state-polls-toss-up-presidential-election-in-swing-states/|title=August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States|website=Emerson Polling|date=August 29, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=Hill}} |August 25–28, 2024 |850 (LV) |± 3.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |48% |– |3% |- |style="text-align:left;"|BK Strategies<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240909_WI_BKStrategies.pdf|title=Badger Battleground Poll Results|website=FiveThirtyEight|date=September 6, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240909184258/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240909_WI_BKStrategies.pdf|archive-date=September 9, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Platform Communications}} |August 19–21, 2024 |600 (LV) |– |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |44% |– |7% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Fabrizio Ward<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://pinpointpolicyinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Blue-Wall-States-Survey-Slides.pdf|title=Blue Wall Survey – August 2024|website=Pinpoint Policy Institute|date=August 29, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Pinpoint Policy Institute}} |August 19–21, 2024 |400 (LV) |± 4.9% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |43% |– |9% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|TIPP Insights (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://amgreatness.com/2024/08/15/new-battleground-polling-dead-heat-in-wisconsin-issues-favor-trump/|title=New Battleground Polling: Dead Heat in Wisconsin, Issues Favor Trump|website=American Greatness|date=August 15, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=AmG|Poll sponsored by American Greatness}} |rowspan="2"|August 12–14, 2024 |1,015 (RV) |± 3.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |42% |– |8% |- |976 (LV) |± 3.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |43% |– |7% |- |style="text-align:left;"|The Bullfinch Group<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65fc824cf835683ce2d3549b/66ba4069b73a13894a56414d_Independent%20Center%20-%20Battleground%20States%20Poll%202024.pdf|title=Independent Center Battleground States Poll|website=The Independent Center|date=August 11, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by The Independent Center}} |August 8–11, 2024 |500 (RV) |± 4.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |41% |– |9% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|New York Times/Siena College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/10/us/elections/times-siena-poll-wisconsin-toplines.html|title=Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Wisconsin|website=The New York Times|date=August 10, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="2"|August 5–8, 2024 |661 (RV) |± 4.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |43% |– |6% |- |661 (LV) |± 4.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |44% |– |5% |- |style="text-align:left;"|BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/democrats-maintain-edge-new-senate-polls-nevada|title=Democrats Maintain Edge in New Senate Polls, As Nevada Moves Back to Lean Democrat |first=Jessica|last=Taylor|date=August 15, 2024|website=Cook Political Report}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=CPR}} |July 26 – August 2, 2024 |404 (LV) |– |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |43% |– |7% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="7"|Marquette University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/marquette-law-school-poll-of-wisconsin-voters-finds-very-close-race-between-harris-and-trump-and-democratic-enthusiasm-for-voting-in-presidential-race-now-matching-republican-levels/|title=Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds very close race between Harris and Trump and Democratic enthusiasm for voting in presidential race now matching Republican levels|first=Charles|last=Franklin|website=Marquette University Law School|date=August 7, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="7"|July 24 – August 1, 2024 |rowspan="4"|877 (RV) |rowspan="4"|± 4.6% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |39% |– |14% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%'''{{efn|With voters who lean towards a given candidate|name="lean"}} |46% |– |1% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |44% |4%{{efn|name=MU8|Anderson with 2%; Leager with 2%}} |1% |- |rowspan="3"|801 (LV) |rowspan="3"|± 4.8% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |41% |– |11% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%'''{{efn|name=lean}} |47% |– |1% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |45% |4%{{efn|name=MU8}} |1% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Fox News<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-hits-50-wisconsin-edges-harris-just-1-point|title=Fox News Poll: Trump hits 50% in Wisconsin, edges Harris by just 1 point|first=Dana|last=Blanton|date=July 26, 2024|website=Fox News}}</ref> | data-sort-value="2024-07-24" |July 22–24, 2024 |1,046 (RV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |43% |– |3% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls-harris-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-michigan-pennsylvania-tied-in-wisconsin/|title=July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin|date=July 25, 2024|website=Emerson Polling}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by ''The Hill'' and Nexstar}} | data-sort-value="2024-07-25" |July 22–23, 2024 |845 (RV) |± 3.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |43% |– |8% |-style="background:lightyellow;" | style="border-right-style:hidden; background:lightyellow;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden; " | July 21, 2024 | colspan="7" | Joe Biden withdraws from the Presidential Race |- |rowspan=2; style="text-align:left;"|YouGov<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240712_state_poll_results.pdf|title=The Times / SAY Poll: Wisconsin|website=YouGov|date=July 15, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=times|Poll conducted for ''The Times'', Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University}} | rowspan=2; data-sort-value="2024-07-15" |July 4–12, 2024 |900 (RV) |± 4.1% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |43% |1%{{efn|name="Other1"}} |7% |- |831 (LV) |– |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |44% |1%{{efn|name="Other1"|"Other" with 1%}} |5% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yS9Jqk2ZupZxw3VGK5UPDrG8AC4G7X06/view|title=PAF Swing State Poll Democrats v Trump|website=Google Docs|date=July 22, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the Progress Action Fund, which is a sponsor of the Democratic Party.}} |July 10–11, 2024 |548 (RV) |– |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |43% |– |6% |- |style="text-align:left;"|North Star Opinion Research<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://amgreatness.com/2024/07/12/battleground-poll-trump-leads-a-tight-race-in-wisconsin/|title=Battleground Poll: Trump Leads a Tight Race in Wisconsin|website=American Greatness|date=July 12, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by American Greatness, a conservative group}} |July 6–10, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |41% |– |10% |- |style="text-align:left;"|SoCal Strategies (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fo51Mb52PouWknRDZaCZn7eoSww1FY9iahu-DKmGDRU/|title=On Point Politics/SoCal Research Wisconsin Survey Crosstabs|website=Google Docs|date=July 2, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=OPP|Poll sponsored by On Point Politics.}} |June 30 – July 2, 2024 |490 (RV) |– |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |38% |– |12% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/wisconsin-older-voter-survey-2024.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.019.pdf|title=2024 Wisconsin Voter Survey|website=AARP|date=July 9, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=AARP}} |June 28 – July 2, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |45% |– |6% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Remington Research Group (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.afpm.org/sites/default/files/issue_resources/AFPM%208%20States%20Survey%20Memo-FINAL.pdf|title=Voter Sentiment on Gas Car Ban and EV Mandate Policies Nationally and in Key States|website=American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers|date=July 8, 2024}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=AFPM|Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.}} |June 29 – July 1, 2024 |593 (LV) |± 4.0% |'''48%''' |'''48%''' |– |3% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="4"|Marquette University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/06/26/marquette-law-school-poll-survey-of-wisconsin-finds-biden-and-trump-tied-among-registered-voters-biden-51-to-trump-49-among-likely-voters/|title=Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin finds Biden and Trump tied among registered voters, Biden 51% to Trump 49% among likely voters|first=Charles|last=Franklin|website=Marquette University Law School|date=June 26, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="4"|June 12–20, 2024 |rowspan="2"|871 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''45%''' |38% |– |17% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |47% |– |– |- |rowspan="2"|784 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.9% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |40% |– |11% |- |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%'''{{efn|name="lean"}} |47% |– |– |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2024-state-polls-trump-maintains-edge-over-biden/|title=June 2024 State Polls: Trump Maintains Edge over Biden|date=June 20, 2024|website=Emerson Polling}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=Hill}} |June 13–18, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |44% |– |10% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Mainstreet Research/FAU<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/mainstreet_WI_June_2024_Public.pdf|title=Mainstreet Research Survey - Wisconsin|website=FAU Polling|date=June 4, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="2"|May 30–31, 2024 |338 (RV) |± 5.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''43%''' |38% |8%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 8%}} |11% |- |290 (LV) |± 5.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |39% |7%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 7%}} |7% |- |style="text-align:left;"|KAConsulting (R)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://vaportechnology.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/WI-Banners.pdf|title=Vapor Technology Association Wisconsin Crosstabs|website=Vapor Technology Association|date=July 8, 2024}}</ref>{{efn-ua|name=VTA|Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association}} |May 15–19, 2024 |600 (RV) |– |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |42% |– |12% |- |style="text-align:left;"|BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/why-senate-democrats-are-running-strong-even |title=Why Senate Democrats Are Running Strong, Even as Biden Is Struggling|first=Amy|last=Walter|date=May 31, 2024|website=Cook Political Report}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=CPR|Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report}} |May 6–13, 2024 |503 (LV) |± 4.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |37% |– |14% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|New York Times/Siena College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/13/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html|title=Cross-Tabs: May 2024 Times/Siena Poll of the Presidential Battlegrounds|website=The New York Times |date=May 13, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="2"|April 28 – May 9, 2024 |614 (RV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |40% |– |10% |- |614 (LV) |± 4.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |42% |– |9% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/wi/wi05082024_wizz76.pdf|title=Wisconsin 2024: Biden Leads Trump In 2-Way Race, It's Neck And Neck When Ballot Includes Third-Party Candidates, Quinnipiac University Wisconsin Poll Finds; Voters 50 - 38% Oppose Campus Protests Over Israel's Actions In Gaza|website=Quinnipiac University Poll|date=May 8, 2024}}</ref> |May 2–6, 2024 |1,457 (RV) |± 2.6% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |42% |2%{{Efn|name="WVR1"}} |2% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/trump-holds-edge-over-biden-in-seven-key-swing-state-polls/|title=Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls|date=April 30, 2024|website=Emerson Polling}}</ref>{{Efn-ua|name=Hill|Poll sponsored by ''The Hill''}} |April 25–29, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |43% |– |11% |- |style="text-align:left;"|CBS News/YouGov<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/democrats-2024-senate-races-pennsylvania-wisconsin-cbs-news-poll/|title=Democrats start out ahead in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin 2024 Senate races — CBS News Battleground Tracker poll|first=Kabir|last=Khanna|website=CBS News|date=May 1, 2024}}</ref> |April 19–25, 2024 |1,245 (LV) |± 3.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |41% |3%{{efn|"Someone else" with 3%}} |8% |- |style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Marquette University<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/04/17/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-very-close-presidential-u-s-senate-races-in-wisconsin/|title=Marquette Law School Poll finds very close presidential, U.S. Senate races in Wisconsin|first=Charles|last=Franklin|website=Marquette University Law School|date=April 17, 2024}}</ref> |rowspan="2"|April 3–10, 2024 |814 (RV) |± 4.8% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |47% |– |1% |- |736 (LV) |± 5.0% |'''50%''' |'''50%''' |– |– |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/wisconsin-2024-trump-46-biden-43/|title=Wisconsin 2024: Trump 46%, Biden 43%|date=March 21, 2024|website=Emerson Polling}}</ref> |March 14–18, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''45%''' |42% |– |14% |- |style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College<ref>{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/wisconsin-2024-poll-trump-45-biden-42/|title=Wisconsin 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 42%|first=Camille|last=Mumford|date=February 27, 2024|website=Emerson Polling}}</ref> |February 20–24, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |39% |– |15% |}

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);}} '''Tammy Baldwin vs. Mike Gallagher''' {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |- valign=bottom ! Poll source ! Date(s) administered ! Sample size{{efn|name="Key"}} ! Margin of error ! style="width:100px;"| Tammy Baldwin (D) ! style="width:100px;"| Mike Gallagher (R) ! Undecided |- |style="text-align:left;" |Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)<ref name="Fabrizio, Lee & Associates R">{{#invoke:cite|web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/06/02/republicans-gallagher-baldwin-wisconsin-senate-00099834|title=Republicans press Wisconsin congressman to take on Tammy Baldwin|first=Ally|last=Mutnick|website=Politico|date=June 2, 2023}}</ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Gallagher.|name=NRSC}} |May 23–25, 2023 |500 (LV) |± 4.4% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |46% |7% |} '''Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican''' {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |- valign=bottom ! Poll source ! Date(s) administered ! Sample size{{efn|name="Key"}} ! Margin of error ! style="width:100px;"| Generic Democrat ! style="width:100px;"| Generic Republican ! Undecided |- |style="text-align:left;" |Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)<ref name="Fabrizio, Lee & Associates R"/>{{efn-ua|name=NRSC}} |May 23–25, 2023 |500 (LV) |± 4.4% |42% |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''46%''' |12% |} '''Tammy Baldwin vs. generic opponent''' {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |- valign=bottom ! Poll source ! Date(s) administered ! Sample size{{efn|Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear|name="Key"}} ! Margin of error ! style="width:100px;"| Tammy Baldwin (D) ! style="width:100px;"| Generic Opponent ! Undecided |- |style="text-align:left;" |Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)<ref name="Fabrizio, Lee & Associates R"/>{{efn-ua|name=NRSC}} |May 23–25, 2023 |500 (LV) |± 4.4% |40% |{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''43%''' |17% |} {{hidden end}}

=== Fundraising === {| class="wikitable sortable" |- ! colspan="4" |Campaign finance reports as of November 25, 2024 |- style="text-align:center;" !Candidate !Raised !Spent !Cash on hand |- | {{party shading/Democratic}} |Tammy Baldwin (D) |$59,479,375 |$59,274,659 |$346,908 |- | {{party shading/Republican}} |Eric Hovde (R) |$31,958,427{{efn|$20,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Hovde}} |$31,600,367 |$358,060 |- | {{party shading/Independent}} |Phil Anderson (DTC) |$52,738 |$52,540 |$198 |- | {{party shading/Independent}} |Thomas Leager (AF) |$23,856 |$23,721 |$175 |- ! colspan="4" |Source: Federal Election Commission<ref name="FEC" /> |}

=== Results === {{Election box begin|title=2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin<ref name=Results/>}} {{Election box winning candidate with party link|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate=Tammy Baldwin (incumbent)|votes=1,672,777|percentage=49.33%|change=−6.03%}} {{Election box candidate with party link|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Eric Hovde|votes=1,643,996|percentage=48.48%|change=+3.95%}} {{Election box candidate|party={{nowrap|Disrupt the Corruption}}|candidate=Phil Anderson|votes=42,315|percentage=1.25%|change=N/A}} {{Election box candidate|party=America First|candidate=Thomas Leager|votes=28,751|percentage=0.85%|change=N/A}} {{Election box candidate|party=Independent|candidate=John Schiess (write-in)|votes=26|percentage=0.00%|change=N/A}} {{Election box write-in with party link | votes = 2,922 | percentage = 0.09% | change = −0.02% }} {{Election box total|votes=3,390,787|percentage=100.00%|change=N/A}} {{Election box hold with party link no swing|winner=Democratic Party (United States)}} {{Election box end}}

====By county==== {| width="60%" class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center" |- ! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| County<ref name=Results>{{Cite news|url=https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/documents/County%20by%20County%20Report_US%20Senate_1.pdf|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20260215191213/https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/documents/County%20by%20County%20Report_US%20Senate_1.pdf|archive-date=February 15, 2026 |url-status=live|title=County by County Report_US Senate|last=Jacobs|first=Ann S.|date=November 27, 2024|work=Wisconsin Elections Commission|access-date=April 21, 2026}}</ref> ! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Tammy Baldwin Democratic ! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Eric Hovde Republican ! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Various candidates Other parties ! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Margin ! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| Total votes cast |- ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Adams | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,806 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37.67% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,551 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.18% | {{party shading/Others}}| 402 | {{party shading/Others}}| 3.15% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,745 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −21.51% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 12,759 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Ashland | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,775 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 54.02% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 3,844 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 43.49% | {{party shading/Others}}| 220 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.49% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 931 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 10.53% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 8,839 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Barron | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 9,352 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 35.24% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 16,462 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.02% | {{party shading/Others}}| 727 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.74% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,110 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −26.79% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 26,541 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Bayfield | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,260 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 56.05% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,697 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 42.05% | {{party shading/Others}}| 212 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.90% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,563 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 13.99% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 11,169 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Brown | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 67,789 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45.84% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 76,722 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 51.88% | {{party shading/Others}}| 3,360 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.27% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −8,933 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −6.04% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 147,871 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Buffalo | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,913 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.33% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,898 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.08% | {{party shading/Others}}| 208 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.59% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,985 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −24.75% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,019 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Burnett | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,730 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.76% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 6,745 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.86% | {{party shading/Others}}| 256 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.39% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,015 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −28.10% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,731 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Calumet | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 12,850 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39.33% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 19,075 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 58.38% | {{party shading/Others}}| 749 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.29% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −6,225 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −19.05% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 32,674 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Chippewa | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 14,875 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39.09% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 22,189 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 58.31% | {{party shading/Others}}| 991 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.60% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,314 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −19.22% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 38,055 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Clark | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,819 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31.75% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,917 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 65.34% | {{party shading/Others}}| 441 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.91% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,098 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −33.59% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 15,177 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Columbia | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 16,753 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 48.39% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 17,120 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 49.45% | {{party shading/Others}}| 751 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.17% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −367 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −1.06% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 34,624 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Crawford | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,026 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44.53% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,761 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 52.65% | {{party shading/Others}}| 255 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.82% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −735 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −8.13% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,042 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Dane | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 273,696 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 75.31% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 84,762 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 23.32% | {{party shading/Others}}| 4,983 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.37% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 188,934 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51.98% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 363,441 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Dodge | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 16,819 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33.71% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 31,928 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 63.99% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,148 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.30% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −15,109 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −30.28% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 49,895 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Door | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 10,503 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 50.48% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,942 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 47.78% | {{party shading/Others}}| 363 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.74% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 561 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2.70% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 20,808 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Douglas | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 13,119 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 52.71% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 11,105 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 44.62% | {{party shading/Others}}| 665 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.67% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,014 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 8.09% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 24,889 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Dunn | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 10,795 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 42.54% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 13,983 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 55.10% | {{party shading/Others}}| 598 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.36% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,188 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −12.56% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 25,376 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Eau Claire | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34,382 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 55.11% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 26,584 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 42.61% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,423 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.28% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,798 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 12.50% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 62,389 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Florence | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 788 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 25.14% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 2,272 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 72.50% | {{party shading/Others}}| 74 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.36% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,484 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −47.35% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 3,134 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Fond du Lac | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 20,777 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 35.80% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 35,909 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.87% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,353 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.33% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −15,132 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −26.07% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 58,039 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Forest | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,853 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 35.70% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 3,200 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.65% | {{party shading/Others}}| 138 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.66% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,347 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −25.95% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,191 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Grant | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 11,300 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.99% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,995 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 55.72% | {{party shading/Others}}| 615 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.29% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,695 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −13.73% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 26,910 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Green | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 11,188 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51.01% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,280 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 46.87% | {{party shading/Others}}| 466 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.12% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 908 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4.14% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 21,934 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Green Lake | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,592 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 32.70% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,138 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.97% | {{party shading/Others}}| 256 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.33% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,546 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −32.28% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,986 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Iowa | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,946 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 54.55% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 6,323 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 43.41% | {{party shading/Others}}| 297 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.04% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,623 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 11.14% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 14,566 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Iron | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,513 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37.49% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 2,445 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 60.58% | {{party shading/Others}}| 78 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.93% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −932 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −23.09% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,036 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Jackson | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,314 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.48% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,764 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 55.42% | {{party shading/Others}}| 323 | {{party shading/Others}}| 3.11% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,450 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −13.94% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,401 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Jefferson | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 20,631 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.52% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 28,005 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.36% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,053 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.12% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,374 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −14.84% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 49,689 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Juneau | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,991 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.57% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,993 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.30% | {{party shading/Others}}| 452 | {{party shading/Others}}| 3.13% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,002 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −27.72% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,436 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Kenosha | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41,946 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46.82% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 45,165 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 50.41% | {{party shading/Others}}| 2,487 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.78% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,219 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3.59% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 89,598 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Kewaunee | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,254 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.37% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,869 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 63.57% | {{party shading/Others}}| 255 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.06% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,615 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −29.21% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 12,378 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| La Crosse | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39,268 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 54.83% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 30,746 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 42.93% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,601 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.24% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 8,522 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 11.90% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 71,615 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Lafayette | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,763 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 42.92% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,838 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 55.18% | {{party shading/Others}}| 167 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.90% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,075 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −12.26% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,768 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Langlade | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,830 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33.14% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,444 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.41% | {{party shading/Others}}| 284 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.46% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,614 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −31.27% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 11,558 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Lincoln | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,572 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 38.45% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,119 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.20% | {{party shading/Others}}| 401 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.35% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,547 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −20.75% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 17,092 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Manitowoc | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 17,627 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 38.35% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 27,201 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.18% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,138 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.48% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −9,574 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −20.83% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 45,966 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Marathon | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31,883 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 40.71% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 44,779 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 57.18% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,650 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.11% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −12,896 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −16.47% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 78,312 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Marinette | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,678 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31.82% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 15,730 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 65.19% | {{party shading/Others}}| 721 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.99% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −8,052 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −33.37% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 24,129 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Marquette | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,405 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.34% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,729 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.14% | {{party shading/Others}}| 237 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.53% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,324 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −24.80% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,371 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Menominee | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,203 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 78.37% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 288 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 18.76% | {{party shading/Others}}| 44 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.87% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 915 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 59.61% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,535 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Milwaukee | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 315,402 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 68.94% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 131,700 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 28.79% | {{party shading/Others}}| 10,405 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.27% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 183,702 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 40.15% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 457,507 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Monroe | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 8,647 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37.33% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 13,860 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.84% | {{party shading/Others}}| 656 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.83% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,213 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −22.51% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 23,163 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Oconto | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,180 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 29.06% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 16,959 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 68.65% | {{party shading/Others}}| 566 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.29% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −9,779 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −39.58% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 24,705 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Oneida | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 10,272 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.64% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 13,898 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.34% | {{party shading/Others}}| 497 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.01% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,626 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −14.70% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 24,667 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Outagamie | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 49,196 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44.28% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 59,077 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 53.17% | {{party shading/Others}}| 2,833 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.55% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −9,881 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −8.89% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 111,106 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Ozaukee | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 27,208 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 43.14% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 34,914 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 55.35% | {{party shading/Others}}| 951 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.51% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,706 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −12.22% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 63,073 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Pepin | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,591 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.85% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 2,636 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.05% | {{party shading/Others}}| 91 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.11% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,045 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −24.20% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,318 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Pierce | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 10,407 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.40% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,172 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.38% | {{party shading/Others}}| 559 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.22% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,765 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −14.98% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 25,138 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Polk | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 9,710 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.76% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 17,446 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.46% | {{party shading/Others}}| 775 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.77% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,736 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −27.70% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 27,931 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Portage | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 21,989 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51.22% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 20,082 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 46.78% | {{party shading/Others}}| 861 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.01% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,907 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4.44% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 42,932 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Price | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,181 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.12% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,424 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.59% | {{party shading/Others}}| 201 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.28% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,243 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −25.47% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,806 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Racine | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 49,333 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46.27% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 54,789 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 51.38% | {{party shading/Others}}| 2,504 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.35% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,456 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −5.12% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 106,626 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Richland | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,111 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44.53% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,912 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 53.20% | {{party shading/Others}}| 210 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.27% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −801 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −8.68% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,233 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Rock | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47,080 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 53.85% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 38,097 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 43.57% | {{party shading/Others}}| 2,257 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.58% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 8,983 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 10.27% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 87,434 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Rusk | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,548 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31.07% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,372 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 65.50% | {{party shading/Others}}| 281 | {{party shading/Others}}| 3.43% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,824 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −34.43% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,201 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Democratic}}| Sauk | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 18,429 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 49.57% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 17,895 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 48.13% | {{party shading/Others}}| 853 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.29% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 534 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1.44% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37,177 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Sawyer | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,621 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.88% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 6,208 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.27% | {{party shading/Others}}| 204 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.85% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,587 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −14.38% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 11,033 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Shawano | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,549 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 32.40% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 15,052 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.61% | {{party shading/Others}}| 697 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.99% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,503 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −32.20% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 23,298 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Sheboygan | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 27,552 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.18% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 37,747 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.42% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,605 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.40% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −10,195 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −15.24% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 66,904 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| St. Croix | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 23,792 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39.63% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 34,844 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 58.05% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,393 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.32% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −11,052 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −18.41% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 60,029 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Taylor | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,943 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 26.46% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,892 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 70.96% | {{party shading/Others}}| 287 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.58% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,949 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −44.50% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 11,122 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Trempealeau | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,424 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 40.35% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,118 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 57.27% | {{party shading/Others}}| 380 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.39% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,694 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −16.92% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 15,922 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Vernon | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,765 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47.11% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,312 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 50.43% | {{party shading/Others}}| 405 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.46% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −547 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3.32% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 16,482 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Vilas | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,120 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 38.21% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,607 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.99% | {{party shading/Others}}| 288 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.80% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,487 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −21.77% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 16,015 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Walworth | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 22,882 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 38.12% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 35,692 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.46% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,454 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.42% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −12,810 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −21.34% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 60,028 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Washburn | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,916 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 35.99% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 6,724 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.79% | {{party shading/Others}}| 242 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.22% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,808 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −25.80% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,882 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Washington | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 28,053 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 30.92% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 61,163 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 67.40% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,526 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.68% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −33,110 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −36.49% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 90,742 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Waukesha | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 105,781 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 38.65% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 163,590 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.77% | {{party shading/Others}}| 4,310 | {{party shading/Others}}| 1.57% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −57,809 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −21.12% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 273,681 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Waupaca | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 10,013 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33.26% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 19,117 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 63.50% | {{party shading/Others}}| 977 | {{party shading/Others}}| 3.25% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −9,104 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −30.24% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 30,107 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Waushara | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,643 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 32.58% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,253 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.93% | {{party shading/Others}}| 354 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.48% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,610 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −32.35% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,250 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Winnebago | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44,721 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47.32% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 47,265 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 50.02% | {{party shading/Others}}| 2,515 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.66% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,544 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −2.69% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 94,501 |- style="text-align:center;" | {{party shading/Republican}}| Wood | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 17,134 | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 40.96% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 23,662 | {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.57% | {{party shading/Others}}| 1,035 | {{party shading/Others}}| 2.47% | {{party shading/Republican}}| −6,528 | {{party shading/Republican}}| −15.61% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 41,831 |- !Totals!!1,672,777!!49.33%!!1,643,996!!48.48%!!74,014!!2.18%!!28,781!!0.85%!!3,390,787 |}

====Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican==== *Columbia (largest city: Portage) *Kenosha (largest city: Kenosha) *Lafayette (largest city: Darlington) *Racine (largest city: Racine) * Outagamie (largest city: Appleton) * Brown (largest city: Green Bay) *Crawford (largest city: Prairie du Chien) *Dunn (largest city: Menomonie) *Grant (largest city: Platteville) * Pierce (largest city: River Falls) *Richland (largest city: Richland Center) *Trempealeau (largest city: Arcadia) *Vernon (largest city: Viroqua) *Winnebago (largest city: Oshkosh)

{{align|right|{{Switcher |300px|Shift by county |300px|Trend by county {{collapsible list | title = Legend |{{legend|#d40000|Republican — >15%}} |{{legend|#ff0000|Republican — +12.5−15%}} |{{legend|#ff2a2a|Republican — +10−12.5%}} |{{legend|#ff5555|Republican — +7.5−10%}} |{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5−7.5%}} |{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5−5%}} |{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0−2.5%}} |{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0−2.5%}} |{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5−5%}} |{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5−7.5%}} |{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5-10%}} |{{legend|#09ceff|Democratic — +10−12.5%}} |{{legend|#00bdec|Democratic — +12.5−15%}} {{legend|#00a1c8|Democratic—+>15%}}}}| 300px|County flips {{collapsible list| title = Legend| {{col-start}} {{col-2}} '''Democratic''' {{legend|#92c5de|Hold}} {{col-2}} '''Republican''' {{legend|#f48882|Hold}} {{legend|#ca0120|Flip}} {{col-end}}}}}}}}

====By congressional district==== Despite losing the state, Hovde won six of eight congressional districts.<ref>{{cite web |year=2024 |title=Ward by Ward Report by Congressional District_November 5 2024 General Election_Federal and State Contests |website=Wisconsin Elections Commission |url=https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Ward%20by%20Ward%20Report%20by%20Congressional%20District_November%205%202024%20General%20Election_Federal%20and%20State%20Contests.xlsx |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241130045633/https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Ward%20by%20Ward%20Report%20by%20Congressional%20District_November%205%202024%20General%20Election_Federal%20and%20State%20Contests.xlsx |archive-date=November 30, 2024 |url-status=live |quote=Spreadsheet download }}</ref> {|class=wikitable ! District ! Baldwin ! Hovde ! Representative |- align=center ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|1|1st}} | 47.5% | '''50.1%''' | {{party shading/Republican}}|Bryan Steil |- align=center ! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|2|2nd}} | '''69.9%''' | 28.6% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Mark Pocan |- align=center ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|3|3rd}} | 46.8% | '''50.8%''' | {{party shading/Republican}}|Derrick Van Orden |- align=center ! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|4|4th}} | '''75.6%''' | 22.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Gwen Moore |- align=center ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|5|5th}} | 37.9% | '''60.5%''' | {{party shading/Republican}}|Scott L. Fitzgerald |- align=center ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|6|6th}} | 41.5% | '''56.2%''' | {{party shading/Republican}}|Glenn Grothman |- align=center ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|7|7th}} | 39.0% | '''58.7%''' | {{party shading/Republican}}|Tom Tiffany |- align=center ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|8|8th}} | 41.6% | '''56.0%''' | {{party shading/Republican}}|Tony Wied |}

== Aftermath == {{expand section|date=January 2026}} The election was widely called for Baldwin by most news outlets, due to her 30,000-vote lead. On November 12, Hovde contested the results and considered requesting a recount. He believed there were voting inconsistencies on the ballot and criticized how absentee ballots were counted in Milwaukee.<ref> {{Cite news |last=Wollner |first=Adam |date=November 12, 2024 |title=Republican Eric Hovde refuses to concede Wisconsin Senate race, casts doubt on the results |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/republican-eric-hovde-refuses-concede-wisconsin-senate-race-rcna179891 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250930054038/https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna179891 |archive-date=September 30, 2025 |access-date=January 23, 2026 |work=NBC}}</ref> His criticisms on election integrity received widespread condemnation with calls to concede the race, which he did on November 18. Hovde decided not to request a recount due to potential challenges to do so, while he continued to criticize how absentee votes were counted.<ref> {{Cite news |last=Gunn |first=Erik |date=November 18, 2024 |title=Hovde concedes 12 days after Senate race is called, continues to criticize ballot count |url=https://wisconsinexaminer.com/briefs/hovde-concedes-12-days-after-senate-race-is-called-continues-to-criticize-ballot-count/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250214032641/https://wisconsinexaminer.com/briefs/hovde-concedes-12-days-after-senate-race-is-called-continues-to-criticize-ballot-count/ |archive-date=February 14, 2025 |access-date=January 23, 2026 |work=Wisconsin Examiner}}</ref>

==Notes== {{notelist}} '''Partisan clients''' {{notelist-ua}}

==References== {{Reflist}}

==External links== '''Official campaign websites''' * [https://web.archive.org/web/20241001093206/https://www.andersonforussenate.com/ Phil Anderson (DTC) for Senate] * [https://web.archive.org/web/20241007204820/https://www.tammybaldwin.com/ Tammy Baldwin (D) for Senate] * [https://web.archive.org/web/20241009185100/https://erichovde.com/ Eric Hovde (R) for Senate]

Wisconsin United States Senate Category:United States Senate elections in Wisconsin