# Expert Political Judgment

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***Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?*** is a 2005 book by [Philip E. Tetlock](/source/Philip_E._Tetlock). The book mentions how [experts](/source/Expert) are often no better at making [predictions](/source/Prediction) than most other people, and how when they are wrong, they are rarely held [accountable](/source/Accountable).[1][2]

## References

1. Menand (28 November 2005). ["Everybody's an Expert - The New Yorker"](http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2005/12/05/everybodys-an-expert). *Newyorker.com*. [Archived](https://web.archive.org/web/20250524150105/http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2005/12/05/everybodys-an-expert) 2025-05-24 at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved January 18, 2016.

1. Kokotajlo, Daniel (2019-02-07). ["Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project: an accompanying blog post"](https://aiimpacts.org/evidence-on-good-forecasting-practices-from-the-good-judgment-project-an-accompanying-blog-post/). *AI Impacts*. [Archived](https://web.archive.org/web/20250524145332/https://aiimpacts.org/evidence-on-good-forecasting-practices-from-the-good-judgment-project-an-accompanying-blog-post/) 2025-05-24 at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved 2025-05-24.

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