# AtlasIntel > Mediated Wiki article. Canonical URL: https://mediated.wiki/source/AtlasIntel > Markdown URL: https://mediated.wiki/source/AtlasIntel.md > Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AtlasIntel > Source revision: 1355510442 > License: Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/) Brazilian market research company AtlasIntel Industry Market research Data Analysis Public opinion polling Founder Andrei Roman Area served North America South America Europe Africa Key people Andrei Roman CEO **AtlasIntel** is a Brazilian market research and data intelligence company. It was founded by Andrei Roman and Thiago Costa.[1] AtlasIntel conducts public and private polling in South America, North America, Europe, and Africa.[2][3] AtlasIntel has a reputation for accurate political polling, being ranked as the most accurate pollster of the [2020 United States presidential election](/source/2020_United_States_presidential_election) and accurately predicting electoral results in various Latin American countries. Poll aggregator [FiveThirtyEight](/source/FiveThirtyEight) ranked AtlasIntel at 2.7 out of 3 stars, based on its historical accuracy and disclosure of methodology.[2][4][5] In 2025, statistician [Nate Silver](/source/Nate_Silver) ranked AtlasIntel as the most accurate pollster in American politics.[6] ## South America AtlasIntel's polling had the most accurate results among pollsters in the [2019 Argentine general election](/source/2019_Argentine_general_election). It also correctly predicted the rejection of the [2022 Chilean constitutional referendum](/source/2022_Chilean_constitutional_referendum).[1][2][*[non-primary source needed](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:No_original_research#Primary,_secondary_and_tertiary_sources)*] AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the 2022 Presidential election in Brazil. It slightly underestimated the vote share of [Jair Bolsonaro](/source/Jair_Bolsonaro) in the first round of voting in the [2022 Brazilian general election](/source/2022_Brazilian_general_election), but to a lesser extent than other major pollsters. Atlas predicted a 9-point margin between Bolsonaro and [Lula da Silva](/source/Lula_da_Silva), with the first round outcome being a 5-point margin.[1][7] During the election, AtlasIntel was involved in a dispute with partnered news organizations that it said had leaked poll results prior to agreed-upon embargo dates.[8] AtlasIntel routinely conducts polling on political attitudes in Brazil. CEO Andrei Roman expressed concern over recent trends that showed increased distrust in the electoral process, citing findings like a 2022 post-election poll showing that over 38% of Brazilians believing that Bolsonaro was the rightful winner of the 2022 election.[9] AtlasIntel has established a partnership with [Bloomberg News](/source/Bloomberg_News) for the development of a study on five Latin American countries ([Argentina](/source/Argentina), Brazil, [Chile](/source/Chile), [Colombia](/source/Colombia) and [Mexico](/source/Mexico)), known as Latam Pulse. The study has a monthly release schedule, and features polling regarding government approval ratings and other key political discussion topics of the month.[10][*[non-primary source needed](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:No_original_research#Primary,_secondary_and_tertiary_sources)*] ## United States As of 2025, AtlasIntel was rated as the most accurate American political pollster by Nate Silver.[6] According to an analysis by polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the [2020 United States presidential election](/source/2020_United_States_presidential_election), with an average error of 2.2 points.[4] For the [2024 United States presidential election](/source/2024_United_States_presidential_election), Silver ranked AtlasIntel as the second best pollster, tied with Patriot Polling and second only to OnMessage Inc,[11] while polling firm [ActiVote](/source/Victor_Allis) ranked AtlasIntel as the best pollster of the election.[12] In the [2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election](/source/2025_New_Jersey_gubernatorial_election), AtlasIntel predicted that Democrat Mikie Sherrill was ahead by 1 point; Sherrill ended up winning by over 14 points.[13] AtlasIntel also predicted that Democrat Abigail Spanberger would win by 9 points in the [2025 Virginia gubernatorial election](/source/2025_Virginia_gubernatorial_election); Spanberger would go on to win by over 15 points.[14] ## Europe Atlas Intel has conducted political polls in France and Romania. During a standard investigation funded by the [Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation](/source/Calouste_Gulbenkian_Foundation) and the European Media Fund, the poll aggregator [Europe Elects](/source/Europe_Elects) did not find documented evidence for conflict of interest and includes the pollster in its database of reliable pollsters.[15] For the [2026 Hungarian parliamentary election](/source/2026_Hungarian_parliamentary_election), Atlas Intel's poll had an error of just 0.2 percentage points.[16] ## Polling methodology AtlasIntel utilizes web-based polling and conducts sampling through its proprietary "Random Digital Recruitment".[17] Poll respondents are recruited through the geolocated targeting of web browsing users. AtlasIntel polls seek to identify patterns in variable non-response rates during sampling and adjust accordingly to mitigate nonresponse bias. AtlasIntel conducts poststratification of its samples with the variables of gender, age, education, income, region, and prior electoral behavior.[18] ## References 1. ^ [***a***](#cite_ref-BR_1-0) [***b***](#cite_ref-BR_1-1) [***c***](#cite_ref-BR_1-2) Audi, Amanda (21 October 2022). ["The future of Brazilian polling after recent mistakes"](https://brazilian.report/power/2022/10/21/atlas-intel-president-election-polls/). *Brazilian Report*. 1. ^ [***a***](#cite_ref-Roper_2-0) [***b***](#cite_ref-Roper_2-1) [***c***](#cite_ref-Roper_2-2) ["AtlasIntel"](https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/atlasintel). *Roper Center*. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-3)** ["Eleições na África do Sul: pesquisa Atlas foi a que mais se aproximou do resultado; veja números"](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/eleicoes-na-africa-do-sul-pesquisa-atlas-foi-a-mais-proxima-do-resultado-veja-numeros/). *CNN Brasil* (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2 June 2024. Retrieved 2025-02-19. 1. ^ [***a***](#cite_ref-silver_4-0) [***b***](#cite_ref-silver_4-1) ["The Death Of Polling Is Greatly Exaggerated"](https://web.archive.org/web/20210325181017/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-death-of-polling-is-greatly-exaggerated/). *FiveThirtyEight*. March 25, 2021. Archived from [the original](https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-death-of-polling-is-greatly-exaggerated/) on March 25, 2021. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-5)** ["538's Pollster Ratings"](https://web.archive.org/web/20141005201227/http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/). *FiveThirtyEight*. Archived from [the original](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/) on October 5, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2024. 1. ^ [***a***](#cite_ref-2025rank_6-0) [***b***](#cite_ref-2025rank_6-1) ["Silver Bulletin pollster ratings, 2025 update"](https://www.natesilver.net/p/pollster-ratings-silver-bulletin). *natesilver.net*. 17 February 2025. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-7)** ["Brazil polling firms among big losers in first-round election"](https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/brazil-polling-firms-among-big-losers-election-2022-10-03/). *Reuters*. 6 October 2022. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-8)** ["CEO da AtlasIntel reclama de vazamento de informações"](https://veja.abril.com.br/brasil/ceo-da-atlasintel-reclama-de-vazamento-de-informacoes). *Veja*. 30 Oct 2022. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-9)** ["Cenário político no Brasil tende a se aproximar cada vez mais do americano, diz CEO da Atlas"](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/politica/cenario-politico-no-brasil-tende-a-se-aproximar-cada-vez-mais-do-americano-diz-especialista//). *CNN Brasil*. November 11, 2022. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-10)** ["Latam Pulse: Comparative Report | January 2025 | AtlasIntel"](https://atlasintel.org/poll/latam-pulse-comparative-report-january-2025-2025-02-11). *atlasintel.org*. Retrieved 2025-02-19. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-11)** ["So, how did the polls do in 2024? It's complicated"](https://www.natesilver.net/p/so-how-did-the-polls-do-in-2024-its). *natesilver.net*. 17 February 2025. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-12)** ["2024 Most Valuable Pollster (MVP) Rankings"](https://www.activote.net/2024-most-valuable-pollster-mvp-rankings/). *Activote*. 25 March 2025. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-13)** Wildstein, David (November 1, 2025). ["N.J. Governor's race is a dead heat, new poll shows"](https://newjerseyglobe.com/governor/n-j-governors-race-is-a-dead-heat-new-poll-shows/). *New Jersey Globe*. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-14)** ["2025 Virginia Gubernatorial Election"](https://cdn.atlasintel.org/dcbf3a96-f9f0-42ee-9ff9-c1807c983f7d.pdf) (PDF). *www.cdn.atlasintel.org*. Retrieved 27 February 2026. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-15)** Europe Elects. ["Europe Elects: Truth in Polling"](https://europeelects.eu/europe-elects-truth-in-polling/). *Europe Elects*. Retrieved 1 April 2025. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-16)** Scheffer, Joakim (17 April 2026). ["Orbán Ally Admits Internal Polls Created False Illusion of Fidesz Victory"](https://www.hungarianconservative.com/articles/current/hungary-internal-polls-election-fidesz-orban/). *Hungarian Conservative*. Retrieved 12 May 2026. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-atlasfinal_17-0)** ["US Presidential Election 2024"](https://web.archive.org/web/20241106132134/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241102_US_AtlasIntel.pdf) (PDF). *Atlas Intel*. 2 November 2024. Archived from [the original](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241102_US_AtlasIntel.pdf) (PDF) on November 6, 2024. 1. **[^](#cite_ref-18)** ["US Midterm Elections 2022"](https://web.archive.org/web/20230529180434/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20221108_GA_AtlasIntel.pdf) (PDF). *Atlas Intel*. 7 November 2022. Archived from [the original](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20221108_GA_AtlasIntel.pdf) (PDF) on May 29, 2023. --- Adapted from the Wikipedia article [AtlasIntel](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AtlasIntel) by Wikipedia contributors ([contributor history](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AtlasIntel?action=history)). Available under [Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/). Changes may have been made.